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Just when you thought it was safe to assume that the soft-landing fix was in, the bond market has thrown a wrench into the machine. So it goes with the constantly shape-shifting risk profile for the...
ADP reveals lower-than-expected increase in private payrollsDollar retreats as investors lower their implied Fed rate pathYen gains, but long-lasting recovery remains questionableWall Street bounces...
Stocks gained on Wednesday, rising by around 80 bps, as the dollar and rates fell.There is still a lot of data to come this week, with the Job report on Friday now front and center. However, despite...
German Services PMI rises slightly Eurozone retail sales decline 1.2% The euro has stabilized on Wednesday and is in positive territory. In the North American session, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0519, up...
USD/CAD has been hit with heightened volatility given bond market chaos and the big moves in the oil market. The dollar rally has paused against euro and yen, but it continues against commodity...
I am old enough (fortunately??) to be able to remember when interest rates were last at this level. Even higher – I can remember in my first job, at technical analysis firm Technical Data, being...
Rising interest rates may threaten the “soft landing” outlook for the US economy, but the upcoming preliminary estimate of third-quarter GDP from the government still looks set to report...
Based on some comments, it appears we scared a few people with A Crisis Is Coming.Our article warns, “A financial crisis will likely follow the Fed’s “higher for longer”...
Well, rates continue to increase following a hotter-than-expected and very volatile JOLTS data point. Now, rates are at a point where the economy will start to slow, and financial conditions are...
The Fed will have to harden its stance to break the labor market. But at what cost for investors?The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the latest jobs report on Tuesday. Since inflation became a hot...
The only thing certain about Q4 is uncertainty and that volatility is rising. These economic trends will be drivers of daily action this quarter. Oil prices and inflation are the biggest risks. The...
The expected return for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to edge higher in September from the previous month. Today’s revised long-run forecast for this benchmark — a...
On Monday, the US Dollar (DXY) was the best-performing currency among the 20 global currencies we track, while the South African rand (ZAR) showed the weakest results. The Nigerian naira (NGN) was the...
Dollar continues to rally, with help from rising yields Gold smashed lower, but stocks don’t get the memoAussie hits 11-month low after RBA decision, RBNZ nextDollar shines brightKing dollar has...
Once again, due to the ongoing lack of fiscal responsibility in Washington, the markets and the economy faced a Government shutdown. After a day of theatrics, Congress passed a “stopgap”...