Market Overview

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What is the January Effect?The January Effect, a term coined to describe the rise in stock prices typically seen in January, has intrigued market participants for decades. This phenomenon is thought...

By Peter St. Onge, PhDSo far this year, my base case on the economy has been that we're repeating the 1970's stagflation. With a first bout of high inflation followed by a period of rapid GDP growth...

The outlook for the US economy is on track to close 2023 with a relatively upbeat outlook for the fourth quarter, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.The official Q4 GDP...

Softer-than-expected PCE inflation boosts early rate cut hopesGlobal shares rise after S&P 500 comes within a whisker of its all-time highYen slips as BoJ hints at no imminent policy change,...

The Trend in Gold Remains Bullish, But Strong Resistance Is AheadThe gold (XAU) price continued to rise on Tuesday, gaining 0.66% in a relatively quiet trading session. XAU/USD has been rising since...

The barrel of American crude finally cleared the $74/75pb resistance range on the mounting geopolitical tensions in the Red Sea and traded at $76pb on Tuesday. Yet the bullish market reaction looks...

Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini FuturesThe weekly chart formed an S&P 500 Emini 9-bar bull microchannel which means strong bulls. There may be buyers below the first pullback from such a strong...

The last PCE print for the US was perfect. Core PCE, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) favorite gauge of inflation, printed 0.1% advance every month – it was softer than expected, core PCE fell...

The Gold Price Remains High While the Market Enters the Holiday SeasonThe gold (XAU) price rose by 0.37% on Friday, reaching a 2-week high due to falling US Treasury yields. XAU/USD is pushed higher...

Fresh data from the UK painted a mixed economic picture, but the market, in line with the trends of recent days, paid attention only to the positive data.The bright side was a 1.3% increase in retail...

Q3 GDP and PCE prices revised lowerDollar resumes slide as Fed rate cut bets increaseAussie and yen the main gainers in FX arenaWall Street rebounds, gold breaks key resistancePCE prices for Q3...

A bit of a plumbing update for you: the Feds dumping of bonds continues apace, on auto-pilot:Reverse Repo remains in a free-fall, plunging toward $0 in within months at this pace. And, of course,...

Gold Trades Near Three-Week Highs Ahead of the Critical PCE ReportThe gold (XAU) price increased 0.80% on Thursday due to a drop in U.S Treasury yields as investors continued to bet that the Federal...