Market Overview

German inflation is cooling more than expected. According to preliminary estimates for October, price growth slowed to 3.8% y/y - the lowest in more than two years - and well below the expected...

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Market Overview: S&P 500 Emini FuturesThe weekly chart formed the third leg down, an S&P Emini Wedge. The market also broke below the trend channel line. The bulls want a reversal up from a...

Gold hits $2,000 as Israel begins ‘second stage’ of war in Gaza, oil jumps tooBut safe haven demand eases on Monday as focus turns to central banksDollar slips below 150 yen as yields...

On Friday, the Nigerian naira (NGN) was the best-performing currency among the 20 global currencies we track, while the Russian rouble (RUB) showed the weakest results. The Japanese yen (JPY) was the...

Markets are calm and stable today, despite some risk-off flows at the end of last week. However, there are holidays this week in some of the countires so this can change some flows in the mid- week,...

The US economy grew 4.9% in Q3, the durable goods orders rose nearly 5% in September, and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) favorite inflation gauge, the PCE index, came in higher than expected, as...

We aren’t geopolitical experts and do not know how the Israel-Hamas war will unfold*. Nobody does. There are far too many unknowns at this stage for even the geopolitical experts to do anything...

The first bar chart is the fed funds probability for Wednesday’s 11/1/23 FOMC meeting and what it’s telling readers is that there is a 99% chance that the FOMC will maintain the current...

Jim Bianco is President and Macro Strategist for Bianco Research, LLC. In this wide-ranging interview, the long-time independent researcher explains why he remains a “unique optimist” even...

We’ve seen this script before. The headlines will make you think the end of the financial universe is upon us because of China, Russia, the Middle East, politics…whatever. Yet, profits...

Fed expected to keep rates on hold despite robust US GDP/personal consumption/spending data The monthly pace of core inflation ticked higher October’s PCE reading however is expected to cool...

Yesterday’s blowout rise for US economic growth in the third quarter delivered an upside surprise, especially for analysts who remain all in with forecasting recession. But perhaps the warnings...

Economists no longer expect a recession. Such was according to a recent WSJ survey of Wall Street economists. To wit: “In the latest quarterly survey by The Wall Street Journal, business and...