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Dollar mounts comeback, helped by solid labor market dataOil prices resume downtrend as supply concerns resurfaceMind the gap - scarcity of liquidity in markets can fuel volatilityDollar shows signs...
Gold Retreats From a 3-Week High But Remains in an UptrendThe gold (XAU) price lost 0.59% on Thursday as the US dollar and Treasury yields rose despite worse-than-expected US macroeconomic...
The latest calculation of the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, an indicator of “inflation”, was reported on Friday morning (22nd December) in the US. The following chart...
Here's some big-picture analysis along with unprecedented global macro combinations.2023 is winding down to see a rise in both gold and SPX with a decline in the US Dollar Index (DXY). Such a...
Here we are, on the last trading day of the year. This year was completely different than what was expected. We were expecting the US to enter a recession, but the US printed around 5% growth in the...
In fact, with patience it could turn out to be like shooting contrary fish in a barrel. The stock market rally – which NFTRH had anticipated a year ago on a larger basis and since October of...
Gold has Risen Over 14% in 2023The gold (XAU) price rose by 0.51% on Wednesday as the US Dollar Index (DXY) and Treasury yields dropped sharply. XAU/USD has been rising for five consecutive...
"You can't fight the Fed" is a famous refrain repeated by most market participants throughout the years. Unfortunately, it is just not true. The truer statement is that "you can't fight the market."...
According to Wikipedia, “Self-help or self-improvement is a self-directed improvement of oneself—economically, physically, intellectually, or emotionally—often with a...
What is the January Effect?The January Effect, a term coined to describe the rise in stock prices typically seen in January, has intrigued market participants for decades. This phenomenon is thought...
By Peter St. Onge, PhDSo far this year, my base case on the economy has been that we're repeating the 1970's stagflation. With a first bout of high inflation followed by a period of rapid GDP growth...
The outlook for the US economy is on track to close 2023 with a relatively upbeat outlook for the fourth quarter, based on a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.The official Q4 GDP...
Softer-than-expected PCE inflation boosts early rate cut hopesGlobal shares rise after S&P 500 comes within a whisker of its all-time highYen slips as BoJ hints at no imminent policy change,...
The Trend in Gold Remains Bullish, But Strong Resistance Is AheadThe gold (XAU) price continued to rise on Tuesday, gaining 0.66% in a relatively quiet trading session. XAU/USD has been rising since...
One area I cover in my outlook for 2024 is the teachings of Raymond Lo and how he sees the upcoming Year of the Dragon.A part of my comments on his analysis is based on this statement by...