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Earnings call: GreenPower reports growth in electric vehicle sector

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 07/02/2024, 10:35 AM
© Reuters.
GP
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In its Year-End Earnings Call for the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, GreenPower Motor Company Inc. (GP) announced a revenue of $39.3 million and a gross profit of $5.4 million. The company, focusing on the medium and heavy-duty electric vehicle markets, particularly school buses and commercial vehicles, has seen significant growth in school bus sales with orders for over 100 buses and a qualified lead pipeline of over 160 buses. The company's CEO, Fraser Atkinson, highlighted the transition to production driven by customer orders and discussed the potential of the school bus market, along with the delay in receiving an $18.6 million EPA grant.

Key Takeaways

  • GreenPower's revenues stood at $39.3 million with a gross profit of $5.4 million for the fiscal year.
  • The company has two fully operational production facilities in California and West Virginia.
  • Orders for over 100 school buses and a qualified lead pipeline for over 160 buses have been reported.
  • Sales of upfitted commercial EV Star vehicles increased by nearly 50%.
  • The company has transitioned to production based on customer orders, with a positive outlook for gross profit.
  • GreenPower has secured production financing and guarantees for letters of credit.
  • The company's sales strategy targets long-term prospects in states with electric vehicle mandates and funding incentives.
  • There is a market opportunity of approximately $25 billion for school buses in New York and California alone.

Company Outlook

  • GreenPower anticipates strong growth in the electric school bus and commercial vehicle markets.
  • The company expects to capitalize on funding programs and initiatives that support zero-emission vehicle adoption.
  • GreenPower is focused on delivering 88 school buses in West Virginia by fiscal year 2025.

Bearish Highlights

  • Challenges have arisen related to charging infrastructure and delays in securing EPA-funded contracts.
  • The company is awaiting an $18.6 million grant contract from the EPA, which is currently delaying specific delivery dates for school buses.

Bullish Highlights

  • Significant growth in school bus sales, with a robust order book.
  • GreenPower's product expansion through its in-house body division, GP Truck Body, has enhanced its offerings.
  • The transition to production based on customer orders is expected to improve gross profit margins over time.

Misses

  • The company reported lower than expected finished goods inventory and a smaller percentage of accounts receivable compared to sales.

Q&A highlights

  • CEO Fraser Atkinson expressed optimism about securing more contracts for school buses and commercial vehicles in new markets.
  • The focus remains on the school bus sector and Class 4 commercial vehicles, where mandates and funding opportunities are prevalent.

In conclusion, GreenPower Motor Company is positioning itself to take advantage of the increasing demand for electric vehicles, especially in the school bus sector. With strategic investments in production facilities and a clear focus on markets with supportive regulations and incentives, the company is paving the way for potential growth in the coming years.

InvestingPro Insights

GreenPower Motor Company Inc. (GP) has been navigating a challenging financial landscape as reflected in recent metrics and analyst insights. With a market capitalization of $27.29 million, the company's scale in the electric vehicle industry is becoming more evident. Notably, GreenPower's gross profit margin for the last twelve months as of Q4 2024 stands at 13.64%, which, while indicative of revenue generation, also points to the company's struggles with profitability—especially given the significant debt burden and weak gross profit margins highlighted by InvestingPro Tips.

The revenue growth for GreenPower has shown a concerning decline of 1.07% over the last twelve months, with a more drastic quarterly revenue growth drop of 66.82%. This contraction could be a reflection of the operational challenges and market conditions the company is facing. Moreover, the company's P/E ratio, which is negative at -1.41, and adjusted P/E ratio of -1.55, underscore the market's current view of its earnings potential, aligning with analysts' anticipation that GreenPower will not be profitable this year.

InvestingPro Tips suggest that while GreenPower has liquid assets to cover short-term obligations, the company is trading near its 52-week low, and its stock price has experienced a significant decline over the past year. The company does not pay a dividend, which may affect investor sentiment, especially among those seeking regular income streams from their investments.

Investors looking to delve deeper into the financial health and future prospects of GreenPower Motor Company can find additional insights and tips on InvestingPro. There are currently 11 more InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed at https://www.investing.com/pro/GP. For those interested in a subscription, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

Full transcript - GreenPower Motor Company (GP) Q4 2024:

Operator: Good morning and welcome to the GreenPower Motor Company Year-End Earnings Call. All participants will be in listen only mode. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Michael Sieffert, CFO. Please go ahead.

Michael Sieffert: Thank you. This is Michael Sieffert, the Chief financial officer of GreenPower Motor Company. I would like to welcome everyone to our call to discuss GreenPower's financial results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2024. I'm here today with our CEO, Fraser Atkinson, and Brendan Riley, our President. During today's call, we may make comments or statements about our future expectations, plans and prospects, which may constitute forward-looking statements for the purposes of the Safe Harbor Provision under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and applicable Canadian securities laws. Actual results may differ materially from those indicated by these forward-looking statements as a result of various important factors, including those discussed in our quarterly interim results and MD&A filed on SEDAR and on EDGAR. In addition, these forward-looking statements relate to the date on which they're made. We anticipate that subsequent events and developments may cause the company's views to change. GreenPower disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Also, during the course of today's call, we may refer to certain non-IFRS financial measures. Reconciliation of these non-IFRS measures can be found in our MD&A. For additional information on the results of operations for the year ended March 31st, 2024, you can access the audited financial statements and MD&A posted on GreenPower's website, as well as on SEDAR and or filed on EDGAR. I'll now pass the call over to GreenPower CEO, Fraser Atkinson.

Fraser Atkinson: Thank you, Michael. GreenPower has accomplished a great deal in the past year and I'm proud to be working with the team at GreenPower, as we've set a new path for our business. Today GreenPower has two fully operational production facilities; one on the West Coast in Porterville, California; and one on the East Coast in South Charleston, West Virginia. This positions GreenPower as a national company with production, sales and service from coast to coast. With the full line of commercial vehicles and the only EV school bus OEM to manufacture both a Class 4 Type A and the larger Type D all-electric purpose-built school bus, GreenPower is positioned to be a core supplier of electric vehicles in the medium and heavy-duty space. Let there be no doubt, over the past year, the EV sector has encountered significant headwinds. Despite these headwinds, GreenPower has made significant progress with our road map to transition to a production plan driven by customer orders. In the past, we've manufactured to inventory so that we were able to complete sales when we receive the customer order. Now that we are receiving large orders, including some with deposits, we must be able to produce pursuant to those customer orders. As Michael will discuss in his remarks, this provides for more efficiencies and fewer touch points, which should improve our gross profit over time. In order to make this transition, GreenPower needed to expand its manufacturing capabilities, both in California and West Virginia, make investments in GP Truck Body to provide a complete range of commercial vehicles and obtain production financing. Brendan will discuss the transition with our manufacturing and Michael, our capital structure in order to achieve this plan. Hand-in-hand with the production plan is the sales strategy that focuses on long-term prospects with mandates and money. To provide some context on mandates, when a customer is interested in the Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Model 3, a Rivian (NASDAQ:RIVN) pickup truck pickup truck or Lucid (NASDAQ:LCID) Air automobile, they are not required to buy any of these. Because mandates do not exist for light-duty vehicles, growth in the market for these vehicles can at times stagnate. However, mandates do now exist for medium and heavy-duty vehicles like the Class 4 commercial vehicles and school buses manufactured by GreenPower. That is why GreenPower has chosen to focus on these two markets. Many states have requirements for school districts to purchase all-electric school buses by certain dates. In states like New York and California, this has to happen over the next 10 years. Those two states alone operate 80,000 school buses, represent a market opportunity of approximately $25 billion. For the Class 4 commercial space, California has recently introduced legislation requiring roughly 10% of new purchases by fleet operators to be zero-emission vehicles, creating demand for GreenPower's EV Star commercial vehicles. This requirement will increase to 75% over the next 10 years, amounting to a multibillion-dollar annual market opportunity in that state alone. Several other states are copying the California initiative, further expanding this market opportunity. While these mandates represent strong growth drivers, they are only as effective as the funding available to support the initiatives. In the case of California, the HVIP voucher program has recently introduced the small fleets plus-up, which doubles the amount of the vouchers available to purchase our EV Star products. These plus-ups amount help small fleet operators get into GreenPower commercial vehicles for nearly no cost when combined with the federal IRA tax credits. Additionally, HVIP introduced the zero-emission school bus initiative with $500 million, which is in addition to existing funding programs from air quality management districts and the school bus set-aside fund. Further, the EPA has been slow in getting out contracts for awards, but we expect to see that activity in the current fiscal year. The combined GreenPower production and cell strategy designed to meet the customer needs in the most cost-efficient manner possible, while focusing on the incentive money available where the mandates required adaptation will continue to provide for the best growth trajectory for our company. I'll now hand it over to Brendan for a discussion on our operations.

Brendan Riley: Thank you, Fraser and good morning to all those on the call. During the year, GreenPower completed the build-out of the company's South Charleston, West Virginia manufacturing facility and delivered the first all-electric school buses produced at the facility with the first delivery of our Four Nano BEASTs and Nano BEAST Access Type A school buses in December of 2023. We also commenced manufacturing of our BEAST Type D all-electric purpose-built zero-emission school buses. And subsequent to the year-end, we delivered the first Type D manufactured in West Virginia manufacturing plant to the Kanawha County School district that's in West Virginia. These production milestones should not be taken lightly. It is also no small feat to set up a US-based ground-up purpose-built EV manufacturing facility in a region not accustomed to that type of skilled manufacturing required to produce these innovative vehicles. Training of the workforce was a major undertaking, complemented by our partners at Bridge Valley Community and Technical College and the state of West Virginia. Moreover, the production line verification and validation is necessary to ensure that the products coming off the line meet the highest standards of quality and safety, especially in the school bus production. These start-up challenges were timely met and have set the stage for continued ramp-up of production at the facility. Equally as significant as the first products rolling off of our West Virginia plant is the increase in sales and deliveries of GreenPower's all-electric, purpose-built, zero emission school buses. Specifically, GreenPower enjoyed a fourfold increase in the number of GreenPower school buses sold in the 2024 fiscal year. Those sales were in markets where GreenPower school buses have been delivered in the past, as well as new states where we deploy the first GreenPower school buses. We anticipate that school bus deliveries will continue to grow in the current fiscal year as we have live orders for more than 100 GreenPower all-electric school buses, including an additional 37 being manufactured in West Virginia. And we have a qualified lead pipeline of more than 160 GreenPower school buses. This represents a potential for $100 million in revenue. Lastly, in the 2024 fiscal year, GreenPower continued to push innovation forward in the school bus sector by introducing the Mega BEAST. The Mega BEAST is a 40-foot Type D all-electric, purpose-built, zero-emission school bus that delivers class leading range of up to 300 miles on a single charge via 387 kilowatt-hour battery pack. It provides the longest range, has that biggest battery in the school bus market and provides more uphill climbing power and has the most desirable V2G capability for a more stable electric grid and community sustainability in areas where it is deployed. Turning to the production line. GreenPower has made significant investment with our in-house body division, GP Truck Body. The focus has been to improve delivery time of upfitting our EV Star Cab & Chassis with truck bodies for customers, providing a seamless one-stop shop opportunity. Though GP Truck Body -- excuse me, through GP Truck Body, GreenPower has been able to develop a comprehensive suite of products with new truck body designs, including our all-aluminum stake bed, our landscape bed, our dump truck, our utility truck service body and the new state-of-the-art refrigerated box truck, which we branded the EV Star REEFERX. The REEFERX has the X factor in that it weighs less, performs better, is built stronger and is more affordable and has a longer warranty than typical competitive products. These new design open exciting new markets for GreenPower and demonstrate the flexibility of the EV Star platform. As a result of these efforts by commercial -- our commercial truck sales team, GreenPower has increased sales of upfitted commercial EV Star line by nearly 50% during the fiscal year from 79 to 117 vehicle deliveries. GreenPower also won the 2023 Green Car Product of Excellence for the EV Star Cab & Chassis. Green Car Journal said that the award honors commercial vehicles that feature greater environmental performance through higher efficiency, the integration of advanced technology and electronics and innovative powertrains that achieve decarbonization goals with low or no carbon emissions. All-in-all, the fiscal year was a success for GreenPower with the first school buses manufactured in West Virginia, the launch of its commercial and school bus products, an increase in sales in both the company's school bus products and upfitted EV Star's trucks and vans. Next, I will turn it over to Michael Sieffert, GreenPower's CFO, who will cover the financial highlights.

Michael Sieffert: Thank you, Brendan. For the year ended March 31, 2024, GreenPower generated revenues of $39.3 million with cost of sales of $33.9 million, yielding a gross profit of $5.4 million. GreenPower continues to be one of the few EV OEMs that consistently post a gross profit. This past year, our gross profit margin declined due to inventory write-downs as we end -- as we began production in West Virginia and delivered our first vehicles produced in the factory. We believe that transitioning production pursuant to customer orders will help alleviate the adjustments, and an increased throughput in West Virginia should reduce the fixed overhead allocation per unit, which over time should help improve our overall gross profit. For the 2024 fiscal year, we delivered 222 GreenPower purpose-built, zero-emission vehicles consisting of 122 EV Star Cab & Chassis, 18 EV Star Cargo, 6 EV Star Cargo Plus, 33 EV Star Passenger Vans, 31 Type D school buses, 10 Type A Nano BEAST and Nano BEAST Access school buses, as well as 2 EV250s. This past year has been a transition, in deliveries to a broader group of dealers and customers, as well as extending our geographic reach. Excluding the deliveries of cabin chassis to other OEMs, we enjoyed a 50% increase from 79 vehicles in the previous year to 117 in the current 2024 fiscal year. Fraser and Brendan talked about the transition with our production, and this transition has been facilitated by changes to our capital structure. During the year, we entered into a revolving $5 million term loan facility, as well as obtaining guarantees for letters of credit for a further $5 million with Export Development Canada or EDC. Both the facility and the letter of credit guarantees are used to finance the production of GreenPower all-electric vehicles pursuant to existing customer orders. And they've therefore been instrumental in our transition. EDC has supported GreenPower's production of zero-emission vehicles and has been a great partner for GreenPower. During the fiscal year, GreenPower commenced monthly lease payments on a lease purchase agreement with the State of West Virginia, through a production facility located in South Charleston with more than six acres in an 80,000 square-foot building. Lease payments totaled $600,000 for the year and these will be applied in full to the purchase of the property. The state will also provide up to $3.5 million in employment incentive payments to GreenPower for jobs created in the state, as well as for -- as production increases over time. Title to the property will be transferred to GreenPower once total lease and incentive payments reached $6.7 million. With that, operator, please open the call up for questions.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] We will now begin the question-and-answer session. The first question comes from Tyler DiMatteo with BTIG. Please go ahead.

Tyler DiMatteo: Hi, everyone and good morning. Thanks for taking the questions here. I wanted to start on the shift in the production plan and how you are thinking about managing that more towards orders. I know you highlighted some color on the inventory side of things. I'm just curious about any other tangible steps you can kind of point to here in terms of how you're thinking about exactly doing that. Any other color there? Thanks.

Fraser Atkinson: Well, I'll start, and Brendan and Michael can weigh in. But for example with West Virginia, this -- our production is what is known in the industry as CKD, so it's component knockdown. And that requires managing our supply chain in a fashion that we can flow the product through or manufacture the product through West Virginia as opposed to leveraging contract manufacturers less than we have in the past. So that's a pretty big shift on the production side. And while it doesn't require a big CapEx, there was a significant cost that we've incurred this past year in getting that facility ramped up to handle that kind of production as well as the processes to facilitate that. And then on the financing side, is that getting a line of credit where it is supported by finished goods, accounts receivable. In other words, the traditional metrics is very, very different than in our case, where we are looking at arranging financing for the actual production, which isn't covered by finished goods or any other form of inventory that would support a line of credit. So EDC is a great partner for us, and yet they have a facility that is very much geared towards the kind of production financing that we needed for this shift or this transition.

Tyler DiMatteo: Okay. Great. Thanks Fraser. Really appreciate that. And then my follow-up here, I wanted to talk a little bit about the order book. I think you pointed to more than 100 in the order book units, pipeline, 160-plus call it. You also had that nice order with West Virginia for the incremental 88 units for school buses. I guess can we talk about that a little bit, maybe how you're thinking about that, the timing of those deliveries and just general update on maybe that contract?

Fraser Atkinson: Well, the 37 is well in process of the 88 that you referenced, and I believe Brendan commented on that earlier this morning. And so that -- our objective is to build and get those delivered within the current fiscal year. So you'll see deliveries later this year and continuing through with the delivery for all 37 of those. The big difference, just taking a step back, the difference -- big difference between live orders and the qualified leads is that the vast majority of the qualified leads are represented by orders or customer orders where funding has been either specifically secured or identified. We're working through contracts, the EPA has been particularly slow in getting their contracts out. And -- but we don't have a delivery date. So in the case of live orders, we are by and large working with production that has delivery dates or expectations on when the vehicles will be delivered to the end customers or dealers versus the qualified leads where we don't have a delivery date. And I should add that it's not just the contracts. In some cases, it's customers or dealers that want the end user to have their infrastructure in place or charging stations installed and the like.

Tyler DiMatteo: Okay. Great. And then just one last one here I want to squeeze in. What's the -- I think that 88 was an incremental. I mean what does that bring the total contract to? Is it around 100 now?

Fraser Atkinson: It's over 100.

Tyler DiMatteo: Okay, great. Thank you guys. Really appreciate the time. I’ll turn it back to the queue.

Operator: The next question comes from Craig Irwin with ROTH Capital Partners. Please go ahead.

Craig Irwin: Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Fraser, we all completely understand the repositioning of the company towards new manufacturing and the school bus markets, which look really exciting right here with billions of dollars being allocated by our President that opportunity to give our kids clean air, right, clean air while they go to school and come home. Can you maybe talk a little bit about the challenges in the medium-term, short-term, as far as the delivery on those contracts? You have the orders, but many of these sole districts have faced issues around charging infrastructure. And there were some early issues around capital access. I believe some of this has been handled, maybe a lot of it. Can you just talk about what you are hearing from the different districts as you work with them? And can you maybe shape it for us how we should expect momentum to come together for GreenPower in this market?

Fraser Atkinson: Well, that's a great question. I guess one of the big challenges is that these initiatives and to some extent, mandates that are driving these at the federal level, they've been very quick at getting some of the awards out there in the announcements and press releases. But in the trenches here, as an OEM, I mean, we are waiting for contracts. And so there is been a delay on that side. Our past year didn't have $1 of revenue from EPA funded deals, even though they've been very substantial out there. So there’s been that disconnect. Going back to your question on charging, that is probably one of the biggest impediments that we continue to encounter especially in an area where we perhaps aren't dealing with a sophisticated purchaser as we would with a large fleet operator that would have a whole group dedicated to ensuring that charging infrastructure is properly scoped out and installed and works properly. Whereas with many school districts and operators of school buses for school districts, they have a mindset sometimes that well, let's get the best Level 3 charging stations and -- that are possible or available out there without realizing that they don't have enough power into their facility to accommodate their wish list. And so there really isn't necessarily a practical outlook in terms of how they are going to deploy the all-electric school buses. So still a lot of education required, still a lot of handholding and that -- going back to our order book, that has impacted how we are able to roll out the qualified leads into the live order portion of our order book.

Craig Irwin: Okay. Excellent. So is it correct that the power needs of the Mini BEAST are materially less than the BEAST, so the charging infrastructure is easier to install, easier to site. So we could see sort of more near-term strength in that area of the market maybe that the Type C school bus alternative, right the clean alternative to Type C? And do you -- can you maybe talk a little bit about your capacity to serve demand there? Is there the capability to scale up to tens or tens of units a month or more? How should we think about that?

Fraser Atkinson: Well, the -- our Type A school bus is the only purpose-built Class 4 school bus on the market. In California, we compete with three other companies that use a Ford (NYSE:F) E450 heavy-duty cabin chassis that they acquired from Ford. So we are in a very different category, literally a category of our own where someone wants to buy a purpose-built school bus than Type A school bus, then ours is the choice. We -- and that platform is -- I mean, we love that platform because it is built on our EV Star Cab & Chassis. So that is a proven platform that we use for -- within our commercial vehicle group and that we sell to other OEMs. And so that gives us the ability to either have a Level 2 charger or a DC fast charge. And given the battery capacity on that vehicle, in many cases, a user can fully charge the vehicle between the morning run and the afternoon run on that vehicle using a 19.2 kW Level 2 charger, which is not expensive, easy to -- much easier to install than a DC fast charge and doesn't have the same power requirements. So there is distinct advantages with that class of vehicle. And we see that, that could be our lead product within the school bus sector, where we are seen as the leader in the space.

Craig Irwin: Excellent. So my last question if I may. Your balance sheet, right? You've done a very good job managing working capital. I guess working capital down almost $10 million over the year-ago period, while for the fiscal year, your revenue was very similar. Can you talk about the ability to maybe liquidate inventory that is there? What should we think about working capital to serve the ramping school bus opportunity?

Fraser Atkinson: Well, we see the -- I mean there will be work in process represented by the production in West Virginia and Porterville pursuant to customer orders. But we see a continued reduction in our finished goods portion or a -- the proportion of finished goods being lower than the work in process. And we see a continued a lower percentage in our accounts receivable than our sales as a result of the mix on the sell side.

Craig Irwin: Understood. Well, congratulations on the success repositioning the company. We're hoping the spring is let loose, and we get to see the real potential as the school bus deliveries materialize this year.

Fraser Atkinson: Thanks, Craig.

Operator: [Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Tate Sullivan with Maxim Group. Please go ahead.

Tate Sullivan: Great. Thank you. Good morning. Back in April, along with guiding to the school bus deliveries, 88 of them in fiscal year 2025, you gave some detail on the EPA grant for $18.6 million. How -- will you get that grant money upon delivery or perhaps ahead of delivery? Can you talk about that a bit, Fraser, please?

Fraser Atkinson: Well, we are still waiting for the contract. So that -- until we have the – we are able to get that completed. And obviously, we’ll announce in a very timely fashion. They were – that is holding us up in terms of providing the specific or final delivery dates pursuant to that particular award.

Tate Sullivan: And you're -- it's still waiting for the contract part from the EPA itself or from the school district customer in West Virginia or what is it?

Fraser Atkinson: From the EPA.

Tate Sullivan: Okay. Perfect. And then the April comment about delivering 88 school buses in West Virginia in fiscal year 2025, is that still intact, that type of timeline there?

Fraser Atkinson: Well, we still – we are -- I mean, we are working right now on the 37 on the front-end of that as well as we recently and just – that was just a week ago, we delivered the first BEAST school bus out of the West Virginia facility, which shows our ability or capability of producing both the Type A school buses, as we delivered four of those in December of 2023. And so now we’ve delivered our first B school bus in the past week. So now that, that’s – that milestone is being achieved, we are continuing to work on the 37 B school bus order where those will be deliveries that occur the fall and winter and through before the end of the current fiscal year.

Tate Sullivan: Thank you, great. And then, Brendan, you call it -- and then on the qualified pipeline of 160 more, so that's above and beyond the live orders for more than 100 if I heard that correctly. And then you said $100 million of revenue. Is that based on what grant money they pay for? Or is that -- I mean that implies a pretty good price tag. How do you get that number, too?

Brendan Riley: That's just the estimate of [indiscernible] revenue. So that's what we have as far as our qualified leads. If you extrapolate the value of those orders, that's the value.

Tate Sullivan: All right. Great. Thank you all.

Operator: This concludes our question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the conference back over to Fraser Atkinson, CEO, for any closing remarks.

Fraser Atkinson: Thank you. We expect to be very busy this summer in securing contracts for our school buses and generating orders from new markets for our commercial vehicles. This will be the start of the realization of our strategy focusing on the school bus sector and Class 4 commercial vehicles where there are mandates and money. We look forward to providing you with timely updates on our progress. In the meantime, if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to Brendan, Michael or myself. Thank you for your continued support, and this concludes our call.

Operator: The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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