NVDA gained a massive 197% since our AI first added it in November - is it time to sell? 🤔Read more

Taiwan central bank sees inflation coming under control; keeps rate steady

Published 06/13/2024, 06:34 AM
Updated 06/13/2024, 06:36 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Taiwanese flag is seen on top of Taiwan's central bank in Taipei, Taiwan, December 14, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Wang/File Photo

By Liang-sa Loh and Faith Hung

TAIPEI (Reuters) - Taiwan's central bank said on Thursday it saw inflation gradually coming down for the rest of the year but the overall tone of monetary policy remained hawkish.

Taiwan's inflation has never been as high as in major Western economies - the consumer price index (CPI) in May rose by 2.24% - but the central bank has made bringing it down a priority.

It has also had to worry less about impacting economic growth, given that Taiwan's export-reliant economy has been getting a lift from global demand for computer chips, especially from the artificial intelligence boom.

Governor Yang Chin-long told reporters after the quarterly rate-setting meeting - where the central bank left the benchmark discount rate at 2% as expected - that he saw inflation trending down. The discount rate has been at this level since March.

But "the tone of monetary policy is further tightening", Yang said, adding unlike major western economies, Taiwan's rate policy change would be "gradual and small" thanks to relatively lower inflation in Taiwan.

"Tightening of monetary policy will help curb inflation expectations."

In a Reuters poll, 29 out of 31 economists predicted the central bank would keep the rate unchanged.

The central bank trimmed its CPI forecast for this year to 2.12%, from a previous prediction of 2.16%, still above the 2% mark the market views as the central bank's red line of concern.

On Wednesday, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept rates on hold and pushed out the start of rate cuts, as it expects only a gradual decline in inflation though it indicated it would stick with plans to cut borrowing costs this year.

Taiwan's central bank raised its 2024 estimate for economic growth to 3.77%, from a March forecast of 3.22%, pointing to factors such as the rising demand for "newly emerging technology applications" including AI.

The economy grew at its slowest pace in 14 years in 2023.

In a measure aimed at curbing property price rises, the central bank also raised the ratios it sets for banks' reserve requirements by 25 basis points.

Yang said that move would make banks more cautious about their investments and new lending, reducing inflows into the property market and locking in more than T$120 billion ($3.71 billion).

First Capital Management analyst Chengyu Liu said there might be another reserve requirement rise at the next meeting in September, though not a rate hike.

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Taiwanese flag is seen on top of Taiwan's central bank in Taipei, Taiwan, December 14, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Wang/File Photo

"It is not all-round tightening that is needed," Liu added.

($1 = 32.3290 Taiwan dollars)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.