🔥 Premium AI-powered Stock Picks from InvestingPro Now up to 50% OffCLAIM SALE

UK economy stumbles in July as strikes and rain weigh

Published 09/13/2023, 02:10 AM
Updated 09/13/2023, 06:43 AM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: People stand at Greenwich Park, with the Canary Wharf financial district in the distance, in London, Britain, August 29, 2023. REUTERS/Kevin Coombs/File Photo
GBP/USD
-

By Andy Bruce and David Milliken

LONDON (Reuters) -Britain's economy contracted in July at an unexpectedly sharp rate after strikes in hospitals and schools as well as unusually rainy weather weighed on output, according to official figures on Wednesday that will add to worries about the outlook.

The Office for National Statistics said gross domestic product shrank 0.5% in July from June, worse than all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists that had pointed to a contraction in gross domestic product (GDP) of 0.2% from June.

Output had risen 0.5% in June, and the economy grew 0.2% over the three months to the end of July.

Sterling shed around a third of a cent against the dollar on the data, which showed all major sectors of the economy - services, manufacturing and construction - declined in July.

The data underlined signs that Britain's economy is weakening, perhaps by more than the Bank of England had expected ahead of its September interest rate meeting.

Data on Tuesday showed a faster rise in the unemployment rate than the central bank expected, although the BoE remains worried that strong wage growth will fuel persistent inflation.

"The speed of the slowdown could be indicating that recession is around the corner," said Neil Birrell, a fund manager at Premier Miton.

"Either way, it does suggest that higher interest rates and sticky inflation are having a more significant effect on the economy."

However, Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at consultancy Pantheon Macroeconomics, said he doubted Wednesday's data marked the start of a falling trend, given the one-off drivers of the drop in output.

The ONS said the health sector was the biggest driver behind the 0.5% drop in services output and cited increased industrial action by doctors which led to nearly 200,000 cancelled appointments. Schools in England also saw strikes.

© Reuters. Demonstrators protest at a picket line outside of St Thomas' Hospital as junior doctors strike over pay and conditions, in London, Britain, June 14, 2023. REUTERS/Toby Melville/file photo

Unusually wet weather in July hurt output at retailers and in the construction sector, which fell 0.5%, the ONS said.

Wednesday's data does not include recent, substantial upward revisions to the performance of Britain's economy up to the end of 2021.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.