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Lennar shares target lowered by Barclays amid strategic shift to asset-light model

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/20/2024, 06:42 AM
LEN
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On Thursday, Barclays adjusted its outlook on Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN) shares, a prominent homebuilder, by reducing its price target to $177 from $180. The firm maintained its Overweight rating on the stock, indicating a continued positive outlook on the company's performance.

The adjustment comes as Lennar progresses towards a structural shift aimed at becoming more asset-light, which is expected to significantly increase capital returns to shareholders. This strategic move includes an expansion of the company's land spin to between $6 billion and $8 billion, up from the previously anticipated $4 billion.

Lennar has also demonstrated efficiency in its operations, with 90% of the lots acquired in the past quarter being fully developed. This has resulted in an impressive supply of owned home sites, equating to about 1.2 years of inventory. Additionally, Lennar is in the process of reducing the size of its on-balance sheet multifamily assets, a step that aligns with its goal to enhance returns.

The company's strategy is designed to balance net income, cash generation, and shareholder returns, which is anticipated to lead to a substantial increase in share repurchases. For 2024, Lennar has guided towards more than $2 billion in share buybacks.

Barclays acknowledges the ongoing discussions regarding Lennar's approach to balancing growth with returns. Nonetheless, the firm recognizes that Lennar is executing a distinctive strategy within the homebuilding sector, a narrative that Barclays believes is currently overshadowed by the short-term effects of interest rate changes and housing demand.

In other recent news, Lennar Corporation, a leading home construction company, has been a focal point for analysts following its second-quarter earnings release. Goldman Sachs reaffirmed a Buy rating on Lennar with a steady price target of $180.00, emphasizing the company's strategic shift towards an asset-light model and consistent production rate.

In contrast, Evercore ISI adjusted its price target for Lennar to $237.00, maintaining an Outperform rating, despite the company's adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.38 falling slightly below their estimate.

Lennar's financial performance displayed mixed results with financial services income and home closings exceeding estimates, but new orders and other income falling short.

The company's initiatives are aimed at releasing additional cash to further bolster growth and augment shareholder returns, with projections of $3.2 billion in free cash flow (FCF) for the current year and an increase to $3.6 billion the following year.

Evercore ISI views Lennar's transition towards a production-oriented, asset-light business model as a positive development. The company is also progressing towards a spin-off of its land assets, a move seen by analysts as a step towards efficiency and capital flexibility. These recent developments underline Lennar's commitment to operational efficiency and capital allocation, positioning it well for future growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Lennar Corporation (NYSE:LEN) continues to draw attention with its strategic shifts and operational efficiency. According to InvestingPro metrics, Lennar holds a market capitalization of $41.02 billion and a Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.1, indicating a potentially attractive valuation in the Household Durables industry. Moreover, the company's revenue growth over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 stands at 6.34%, showcasing its ability to expand in a challenging market. The gross profit margin during the same period is a solid 24.01%, reflecting the company's effectiveness in managing costs and maximizing profitability.

Delving into InvestingPro Tips, it's noteworthy that Lennar holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and has maintained dividend payments for an impressive 47 consecutive years, emphasizing its financial stability and commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, analysts predict the company will be profitable this year, which aligns with the positive outlook presented by Barclays. For investors seeking more in-depth analysis, there are 12 additional InvestingPro Tips available, which can be accessed with the use of coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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