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Citi lowers Winnebago Industries shares target amid motorized segment challenges

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/21/2024, 05:50 AM
WGO
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On Friday, Citi adjusted its outlook on Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO) shares, lowering the price target to $71 from $79, while reiterating a Buy rating on the stock. Winnebago's shares experienced a decline of approximately 3.5% on Thursday, contrasting with a marginal 0.25% dip in the S&P 500 index. The company's third-quarter results aligned with Citi's projections but fell slightly short of the broader market consensus.

The performance of Winnebago's towable vehicles met or exceeded market expectations, but the motorized segment did not fare as well. Notably, motorized vehicle deliveries, average selling price (ASP), and margins did not meet the expectations set by the consensus. The anticipated uptick in retail sales during the spring did not materialize as forecasted.

Despite the recent performance, Citi remains optimistic about Winnebago's prospects, particularly within the early-cycle recreational vehicle (RV) market. The firm highlights Winnebago as a potential major beneficiary of expected interest rate cuts. However, the firm also acknowledges that the timing of these cuts appears to be receding further into the future.

Winnebago Industries, a leading manufacturer of RVs, has been closely monitored by investors for signs of growth potential in the context of economic shifts. Interest rate movements are particularly significant for the RV industry as they can influence consumer financing options and purchasing power.

The maintained Buy rating suggests that Citi continues to view Winnebago as a favorable investment despite the reduced price target and the mixed financial results. The firm's stance indicates a belief in the company's long-term growth potential, even as it navigates short-term market challenges.

In other recent news, Winnebago Industries reported its third-quarter earnings, revealing an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.13, which surpassed Roth/MKM's projection of $1.06 but fell short of the market expectation of $1.31.

This represents a 47% decrease from the previous year's EPS of $2.13. The company's total sales for the quarter also experienced a decline of 13%, totaling $786 million.

Analyst firms Citi and DA Davidson maintained their Buy and Neutral ratings on Winnebago, respectively, with Citi holding a price target of $79 and DA Davidson adjusting the price target to $66.

In addition, Grand Design RV, a subsidiary of Winnebago, announced its first venture into the motorized RV market with the introduction of the Lineage Class C motorhome. This expansion signifies the company's commitment to broadening its product line and customer segment.

Furthermore, Winnebago's management anticipates dealer destocking to continue for the remainder of the calendar year 2024, following approximately 8,000 units of channel fill through April.

These are among the recent developments for Winnebago Industries.

InvestingPro Insights

As Winnebago Industries (NYSE:WGO) adapts to market fluctuations and investor scrutiny, recent data from InvestingPro provides a multifaceted view of the company's financial health. With a market capitalization of $1.6 billion and an adjusted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 at 11.14, Winnebago presents an interesting case for investors considering the RV market's early-cycle opportunities. The company's revenue has seen a decline of 29.57% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reflecting the challenges within the motorized segment noted by Citi.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that management's aggressive share buybacks and a history of raising dividends, now for 5 consecutive years, demonstrate a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, the company's liquid assets surpassing short-term obligations suggests a solid liquidity position. For those interested in further analysis, there are additional tips available on InvestingPro, providing a deeper dive into Winnebago's financials and market position. Use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription and access these valuable insights.

While analysts have revised earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, and a sales decline is anticipated in the current year, Winnebago's ability to maintain dividend payments for 11 consecutive years and a dividend yield of 2.27% as of mid-2024 may appeal to income-focused investors. The company's stock price volatility and its position near a 52-week low could provide a potential entry point for those who share Citi's optimism about Winnebago's long-term prospects in the RV market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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