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If you follow me on X, you will know I’ve been focused on the NQ (Futures for the Nasdaq 100). What’s interesting about the NQ is that, unlike the ES (Futures for the S&P 500 and the YM (Futures...
With Election Day finally here, markets are bracing for potential volatility. History shows that the stock market can react unpredictably to election outcomes, especially when the results are unclear...
As the US election approaches tomorrow, history shows little long-term S&P 500 impact from election outcomes, while global economic forces like SNB profits and ChatGPT’s energy demands drive...
I know many people expect the market to rally after the election, and it may, given that we’ll likely see an IV crush as the event risk passes—something we see regularly, however, where the market...
A recent report looks at how the Dow Jones relates to the election. When the Dow is up in the weeks leading up to the election, the incumbent party usually wins. On the eve of Election Day, the Dow...
With the election less than 24 hours away, it is safe to say that investors of all shapes and sizes are likely sitting on their hands today. As such, I thought this might be a good opportunity to...
Q3 S&P 500® EPS growth expected to come in at 5.1%, the fifth consecutive quarter of growth. All eyes on earnings, the US presidential election and Federal Reserve rate decision this...
November historically marks a lucrative period for small-cap stocks, with the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 showing strong returns. Small-cap stocks, though riskier, offer high-growth potential...
Above is the CME’s Fedwatch, cut-and-pasted this morning after the October non-farm payroll report, showing a 99.4% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut next Thursday, November 7th, 2024. The...
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: The S&P 500 slipped -1% in October (making it +19.6% YTD). Pre-election de-risking continued last week. Seasonal tailwinds are on the...
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