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We haven’t had to change our subjective probabilities for our three alternative economic scenarios for quite some time. We are doing so today and may have to do so more frequently in coming months or...
Whilst we’ve still our near-term negative bent for the price of Gold, nonetheless let’s reprise this from last week’s missive: “One thing to watch is a stirring of geo-political jitters which as you...
STAT The current bull market has been extraordinary. As Bridgewater reports, “Out of any 15-year period to be invested in equities dating back to 1970, the one we’ve just lived through was the best....
Excellent chart sourced from Gary Morrow (@garysmorrow on X) showing the S&P 100 or the OEX, reaching it’s most oversold since October, ‘2022, and yet sitting right on longer-term support at the...
I’m sure this week will be interesting, given the CPI and PPI reports. I’m sure the administration will have plenty of on-again and off-again policy statements about something. The one thing that...
I know there is the smell of fear in the air when I see my readership double as we reach a point where weekly chart factors come into play. Up until last week, markets have enjoyed steady advances...
The big US stocks dominating markets and investors’ portfolios just finished another earnings season. They reported spectacular collective results including record sales, profits, and operating cash...
Leverage can come in many forms these days. For instance, it can come from options, margin, and leveraged ETFs*. While leverage can turn into an addictive use of capital when times are good, the...
Trump’s U-Turns Keep the Market Under Pressure Both US equity indices and the US dollar remain under severe stress as US President Trump continues his back-and-forth on the tariffs front. In another...
Over the last three months, the S&P 500 (SPX) index is down nearly 5%, reverting to early November level. After the initial optimism following President Trump’s inauguration, the gains evaporated...
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