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Like our resident market P.I. John Del Vecchio, Kyle Bass is one of those hedge fund managers who profited in the last crash when he bought credit default swaps to short the housing market.He’s...
When the Fed was created in 1914, it was set to task of controlling short-term interest rates in an attempt to iron out financial cycles.It succeeded for many years. But by avoiding the natural...
Japan has adopted negative interest rates as the latest effort to revitalize its dying economy.But the country has been falling down the demographic cliff after its baby boom ignited a surge of...
Since late 2008, central banks around the world have used unprecedented QE to try and stoke the global economy.Then in June 2014, the ECB took it a step further. They went negative. Zero short-term...
Earlier today we discussed how China is in a race with the Saudis to build the world’s tallest skyscraper. But China’s not only trying to build the world’s tallest – the...
I recently wrote to you about a number of factors that show the stock market saw a major top back in May 2015.The most glaring? Small-cap stocks have diverged massively from large-cap since May....
A Yahoo Finance headline this morning reads: “Unhappy New Year: The U.S. Economy Is Stalling Out.”We recently learned that existing home sales in November crashed 10.5% from the month...
I suppose you could say we have World War II to thank.Upon returning from the war, soldiers had their GI benefits to enjoy and a deep-seated desire to start a family. And so was born (quite literally)...
I’ve been shocked over how much QE and stimulus the central banks have signed on for in the last seven years, but they’re finally starting to reach their limit.The U.S. already did in 2014...
The New York Times ran an article on Sunday talking about how the Chinese invasion of U.S. real estate is only expanding.They aren’t just buying condos in Manhattan or McMansions in Silicon...
As we forecast decades ago, Japan was the first developed country to go off the demographic cliff. Their massive baby boom and the real estate and stock bubbles that came with it, all burst.Japan has...
I have so many bets on the go with gold bugs like Porter Stansberry (Stansberry Research) and Jeff Clark at Casey Research… and I just keep winning ‘em.That’s something to be happy...
Before the Paris attacks, which I discussed Monday, the markets were already reeling from weaker-than-expected retail sales.Profits were a big miss for upscale retailer Nordstrom (N:JWN) and...
I warned in early October that stocks looked like they were setting up for another sharp crash into the height of the “crash season” in mid-October. Instead, we got rate cuts in China,...
Stocks soar as sales and earnings slow.You tell me – how long can that last? S&P 500 companies continue to report third quarter earnings. And it looks as though sales and earnings are set to...
I was reading the Wall Street Journal last week and came across an article called “The Myth of Basic Science.”It made the point my research long ago proved to me: that the evolution of...
During World War II, the Fed bought its own bonds to keep interest rates low and demand high enough to finance the war effort.Back then, the Fed’s efforts did what you’d expect: they...