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Market moversAs the holiday season is just around the corner, market movers will be limited. However, if the US Congress and President Trump do not reach an agreement on the budget, we may have a...
Market movers today We kick off the day with the Riksbank rate decision at 9.30 CET . We look for a rate hike of 25bp, the first one since July 2011. See page 2 for more details. The Bank of England...
As expected, the Fed raised the target range by 25bp to 2.25%-2.50% but only raised the Interest Rate on Excess Reserves by 20bp to 2.40%. With the hike, the Fed funds rate is now in the lower end of...
The Italian government struck an agreement with the European Commission on its 2019 budget, meaning the risk of an excessive deficit procedure is off the table for now.Changes in the wider European...
Market movers today All eyes will be on the FOMC meeting tonight . It hasn't become less exciting after the recent market rout and US President Donald Trump's frequent expressions of clear...
Despite little news, NOK has tumbled in recent sessions in thin markets Fundamentally, we still see a solid strategic case for a 2019 NOK move higher Investors should look for stabilisation to add...
The Finnish economy is set to slow significantly in 2019, but growth is still high enough to have a positive impact on employment and public finances. We have lowered our GDP growth forecast to 1.7%...
We think the euro area Phillips curve is coming alive in 2019Different measures of underlying inflation pressures have continued their gradual upward trend in 2018, but the impact of higher wages on...
Market movers today Today, it is time for the German Ifo business confidence. We expect to see a small decline again on the back of a continued difficult external environment, with China slowing...
Event risk priced in EUR/SEK on this week's Riksbank meeting has increased substantially, as weak Swedish data has increased uncertainty about whether the Riksbank will hike this week or in...
EUR/NOK. Once again, the NOK has weakened in the final months of the year. This time, the move was triggered by souring global risk appetite and falling oil prices. Meanwhile, we still expect the...
Market movers today Key market themes continue to be Brexit and US-China trade talks . Markets will also be looking ahead to the Fed meeting on Wednesday. While a rate hike is widely expected, focus...
We think Japan is heading for a slowdown, but more domestically driven growth is positive news. We expect GDP growth of 0.9% in 2018 and 2019. In 2020, we expect the consumption tax hike to weigh on...
The latest IMM data covers the week from 4 December to 11 December 2018To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below..
Positive signals on the trade front despite tensions in other.The 'tech war' moved to the next level - US tech could be caught in the crossfire. More signs of economic weakening - it gets worse before...
Market movers aheadIn the US , we expect the Federal Reserve to raise the target range by 25bp to 2.25-2.50%, but the focus will be on what policy path the Fed signals going forward. In Sweden , we...
We expect the Fed to raise rates again when the committee meets next week . This would bring the target range to 2.25-2.50%, i.e. the lower end of the broad range of the estimates of the neutral rate...