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Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC

Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC, including current material.
April's Nonfarm Payroll Report Should Have Been Much Weaker By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 10, 2016

If the Fed is data dependent in its monetary policy setting, then the current update for the labor market should keep them still inactive (or at least not raising the federal funds rate that nobody...

Something In The Economy Changed In The Middle Of Last Year By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 08, 2016

In August last year, Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) announced that it was moving manufacturing jobs back to America from Mexico. The truck and equipment company had entered what is called the...

Getting Far Too Caught Up In The One Step Forward By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 04, 2016

It seems as if some “markets” are having a difficult time coping with the different speed at which the economy is changing. Maybe that should be expected given the dramatic transformation...

The Economy's Weakness Is Really Different Now By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 03, 2016

If there is any wonder why PMIs deserve scorn, this morning’s twin bill delivered solid reasoning. Both the ISM Manufacturing Index and the Markit Manufacturing PMI declined, and both remained...

They Want It To Be About Inflation By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 01, 2016

There was more bad news for the FOMC over the past few days beside the once again near-zero GDP estimate. If the labor market were truly growing as is claimed, we should be finding...

Bi-Weekly Economic Review By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 01, 2016

Economic Reports Scorecard Of the 19 reports released over the last two weeks for which we track a consensus estimate, only four were better than expected. And two of those were the two weekly jobless...

Always About Income By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - May 01, 2016

The emphasis on the labor market has become ubiquitous but it is not being used in the manner with which it should be used. It is now permanently attached to words like “despite” or...

Ritual Weakness: More Ritual Than Weakness By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 29, 2016

The worst part of this stilted or stunted economy is that it isn’t nearly good enough to produce widespread prosperity (with very real questions as to whether it produces any prosperity at all)....

Where Is (Was) The Overheating? By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 29, 2016

With no “unusual” snow or “residual seasonality”, the US economy once again grinds to a halt in Q1 only now with no more reasons to dismiss it. In what has become an annual...

Focused On The Wrong End Of Oil By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 28, 2016

The front end of the oil price complex continues to get all the attention because it seems to further the more optimistic narrative. It is the back end, however, that is most significant. The nearer...

Apples Reports Shocking Results By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 28, 2016

The big news of the day had nothing to do with Janet Yellen, which was entirely appropriate given both her stance on the economy and anything she could possibly, realistically do about it (nothing)....

Sentiment Vs. Liquidity: What's More Important? By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 28, 2016

On January 16, 2009, the FOMC gathered telephonically for an emergency conference call to discuss a deal that had been struck between Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) and the FDIC, Federal Reserve, and the...

Yes, Trauma By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 26, 2016

Economists will not remove themselves from seeing the economy as it “should be” rather than take it for what it is (and what that actually means). They have latched their narrative to the...

Pseudo Recovery By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 26, 2016

There has always been something off about the housing rebound from the depths of the crash. It was, of course, aided in good part by various QE’s that had the effect of skewing marginal benefits...

A Reader’s Chart Of The Week: Crude Oil By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 25, 2016

One of the things I like about posts like the Chart of the Week is that it gets people to think, share and collaborate. It can be a bit of an echo chamber sometimes, so we welcome other opinions and...

Leave It To The Bank Of Japan By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 24, 2016

Japan has seemed unusually put upon by Mother Nature over the past few years, for which we can only express our sincerest sympathy. However, Japan’s most pressing problem is entirely man-made...

Sector Snapshot: Energy And Materials Still Leading By Alhambra Investment Partners, LLC - Apr 24, 2016

There has been some turnover in the short term leadership but energy and materials are still the leading sectors: The newcomer moving up in the pack is healthcare which was at the bottom of the one...

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