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Morning Wood

By Tim KnightStock MarketsSep 25, 2022 12:32AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/morning-wood-200630262
Morning Wood
By Tim Knight   |  Sep 25, 2022 12:32AM ET
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Do you want to see a very clean example of how much distortion the government has brought into the markets? This will hit you over the head like a two by four: let’s talk about lumber.

Here is a chart of the price of lumber in the mid-1980s. Sure, it looks volatile, but it isn’t. It hangs around $185, plus or minus about $15. In other words, even over a period of years, it goes up or down about 8%.

Lumber Price Chart
Lumber Price Chart

Now let’s examine lumber in the post-Covid, post-GFC, Everything Bubble era. The exact same lumber is about $1,000, plus or minus $600. In other words, instead of up/down 8%, it is up/down 60%. It has swooped from about $400 to $1700 and then down and up and then back down again. Insane. Can you imagine how many knock-off effects this has had in, for instance, housing?

Lumber Chart
Lumber Chart

As always, if you want to screw ANYTHING up, just get the government – ANY government – involved. It wasn’t that long ago that the meme below made sense. Not anymore.

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Morning Wood
 

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Morning Wood

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Comments (2)
G D
G D Sep 26, 2022 8:42AM ET
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lol great title
Se Ja
Se Ja Sep 26, 2022 7:28AM ET
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Great choice of titles! Ive never witnessed the end of a super cycle but i imagine commodities did the same thing.
 
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