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Craig Erlam
A Pinch of Salt By Craig Erlam - Feb 23, 2023

Equity markets are heading for a positive start to the session, paring Wednesday’s gains as investors digest the latest Fed minutes.The usual caveat applies to the minutes, being that a lot of...

Stephen Innes
Asia Open: Cross-Asset Sentiment Scorched By Stephen Innes - Feb 22, 2023

MARKETS US equities were weaker Wednesday, with S&P 500 down a touch heading into the close after a choppy session that turned weaker following a hawkish tone in the Fed...

David Moenning
Why I Remain Cautiously Optimistic By David Moenning - Feb 22, 2023 2

Here we go again. Just when you thought positive economic news was a good thing - because strong data support the soft landing (or better) narrative - traders turned the game on its head. Again.Stocks...

James Picerno
Estimate for U.S. Q1 GDP Skews Slightly Negative By James Picerno - Feb 22, 2023

The economic rebound in the second half of 2022 looks challenged in early estimates for first quarter GDP, based on the median for a set of nowcasts compiled by CapitalSpectator.com.US output is on...

Lance Roberts
'No Landing' Scenario at Odds With Fed’s Goals By Lance Roberts - Feb 21, 2023 22

Economically speaking, bullish bets are mounting on a “no landing” scenario, which suggests the economy will avoid a recession entirely. As noted by Yahoo Finance last Friday: “The...

Craig Erlam
Plenty to Look Forward to This Week By Craig Erlam - Feb 21, 2023

It hasn’t been the most thrilling start to the week but the good news is that it should improve from here as the US rejoins and the economic calendar fills out.The fact that the calendar was as...

Brian Gilmartin
The Fact Is Inflation Is Decelerating By Brian Gilmartin - Feb 20, 2023 10

The chart below from Bespoke still gets kudos for summarizing the drop in CPI over the last 8 months (in one pic) and then in the bottom half of the graph, updating readers that with a +0.6% CPI MoM...

Stephen Innes
Asia Open: Speculative Phase to the Growth Phase By Stephen Innes - Feb 20, 2023

MARKETSLast week US data continued to have a legacy effect on risk-taking propensity due to the possible hawkish Fed reaction function after retail sales increased above expectations and evidence that...

Stefan Gleason
White House Actions Raise Risks to Economy By Stefan Gleason - Feb 20, 2023

Something like the plot of Atlas Shrugged seems to be playing out across America.In the novel, corruption and mediocrity spread through institutions including the power company and the bureaucracies...

Craig Erlam
European Markets Treading Water By Craig Erlam - Feb 20, 2023

Stock markets in Europe are treading water in thin trade at the start of the week amid a light economic calendar and a US bank holiday.It was always likely to be a slow day under the circumstances and...

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