Goldilocks Conditions Look To Continue

By Zacks Investment ResearchStock MarketsMar 11, 2018 10:29PM ET

www.investing.com/analysis/goldilocks-conditions-look-to-continue-200297290

Goldilocks Conditions Look To Continue

By Zacks Investment Research | Mar 11, 2018 10:29PM ET

Saved. See Saved Items.

This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

US500

+1.58%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

DJI

+1.39%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

Following Friday’s big 1.8% upswing on the Dow index — marking the first close north of 25K so far this month — which came after a stellar non-farm payroll survey that brought 313K new jobs in February with barely any wage growth, these “Goldilocks” conditions look to continue into this week. With little on the economic docket today, and no headline headwinds from across the globe, there appears to be nothing getting in the way of this storybook scenario, near-term.

The Nasdaq and S&P 500 also closed up 1.8% and 1.7%, respectively (with the Nasdaq cracking a fresh all-time high), meaning market gains have not been merely contained to a few blue-chip stocks. That Main Street may find themselves a tad at odds with the low wage growth in such a tight labor market is immaterial to the markets; in fact, wage growth trickling up is a relief for investors wary of four interest rate hikes from the Fed this year instead of the three already more or less priced in.

This is not to say analysts will be resting on these low-inflation conditions; tomorrow we see fresh numbers from the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Wednesday will bring the latest Producer Price Index (PPI). Currently, both inflation metrics look to be at most just half what these figures showed in January — 0.2% are estimated for both, compared to the previous month’s 0.5% and 0.4%, respectively. If they were to come in as-expected, we can look for even further near-term gains in the market (assuming they are the lead economic narratives for the first half of the week).

This brings up an important point about market volatility we’ve seen thus far into 2018: strong nonfarm payrolls in January were joined by a relative spike in wage growth averages — 0.3% in back-to-back months and getting closer to 3% year over year. This, plus the aforementioned hotter-than-expected CPI and PPI figures, generated lots of market volatility off the all-time market highs we’d seen in early 2018 trading. This time around, with even better headline jobs numbers, we saw market appreciation precisely because the wage growth figures cooled. We shall see if this continues Tuesday and Wednesday.

Eventually, we will see wage growth ratchet up and inflation metrics compel the Fed to hike interest rates. (Next week’s Fed meeting is already considered a no-brainer quarter-point hike.) How far and how fast will be what market participants grapple with. For now, enjoy the porridge.

Original post

Zacks Investment Research

Nvidia Concentration Risk: Should Retail Investors Be Worried? By Timothy Fries - Feb 28, 2025

The fortune of Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) is closely tied to Big Tech hyperscalers. Although the AI/GPU designer didn’t name its largest clients in the latest 10-K filing on Wednesday,...

2 Boring Safe-Play Stocks to Protect Against Market Turmoil By Jesse Cohen - Feb 28, 2025

In a market fraught with uncertainty, investors often seek refuge in defensive-minded stocks that offer stability and resilience. Two such stalwarts, Johnson & Johnson and...

2 Stocks Riding the Dominance of America’s Natural Gas Exports By Jea Yu - Feb 28, 2025

The United States is the largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG), having surpassed Australia and Qatar in 2023. The United States exports an estimated 12.5 billion cubic...

Add a Comment

We encourage you to use comments to engage with other users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:

Enrich the conversation, don’t trash it.
Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically. Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user. Racism, sexism and other forms of discrimination will not be tolerated.
Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases. Comments that are written in all caps and contain excessive use of symbols will be removed.
NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and comments containing links will be removed. Phone numbers, email addresses, links to personal or business websites, Skype/Telegram/WhatsApp etc. addresses (including links to groups) will also be removed; self-promotional material or business-related solicitations or PR (ie, contact me for signals/advice etc.), and/or any other comment that contains personal contact specifcs or advertising will be removed as well. In addition, any of the above-mentioned violations may result in suspension of your account.
Doxxing. We do not allow any sharing of private or personal contact or other information about any individual or organization. This will result in immediate suspension of the commentor and his or her account.
Don’t monopolize the conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also strongly believe in giving everyone a chance to air their point of view. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
Only English comments will be allowed.
Any comment you publish, together with your investing.com profile, will be public on investing.com and may be indexed and available through third party search engines, such as Google.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

I have read Investing.com's comments guidelines and agree to the terms described.

I Agree

Write your thoughts here

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Post also to:

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.

<div id="comment">
				<div class="comment js-comment" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
    <div class="mainComment js-content">
       <div class="commentInnerWrapper">
        <a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody">
                					<span class="commentUsername">
                    	<a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link js-user-name">{username}</a>
					</span>
                                <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
                <div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

<div class="js-option addRow follow">
            <div class="js-follow-post-button" data-reg_ep="follow comment">
                <span class="alertfollowIcon middle"></span>Follow this post            </div>
            <div class="js-unfollow-post-button displayNoneImp">
                <span class="alertUnfollowIcon middle"></span>Unfollow this post            </div>
        </div>

<div class="addRow js-option save"  data-reg_ep="save comment">
		<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-save-item-btn" data-item-type="comments" data-item-id="{commentID}">
			<i class="saveItemBigIcon middle"></i>
			Save		</a>
	</div>
	<div class="addRow saveItemsConfirmation noHover displayNone js-saveItemResult">
		
<div class="content js-saveItemSuccess displayNone">
	<span class="mediumGreenSuccessIcon"></span><span>Saved. See <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a>.</span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
<div class="content js-saveItemAlreadySaved saveItemAlreadySaved displayNoneImp">
	<span>This comment has already been saved in your <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a></span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
	</div>

<div class="addRow shareButtons js-sharePopup displayNone">
			<div class="js-shareComment"><span class="js-shareCommentSpan"></span></div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>
                 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div>             </div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="commentBigChart js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

<div class="reportComment js-flag float_lang_base_2">
                            <a href="javascript:void(0);" id="commentFlag_{commentID}">
                                <span class="reportCommentIcon middle"></span><span class="inlineblock middle">Report</span>
                            </a>
                        </div>
                    				</div>
					</div>
	   </div>
	</div>
	</div>			</div>
			<div id="reply">
				
    <div class="commentReply js-comment js-comment-reply" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
		<div class="commentInnerWrapper"><a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody js-content">
            				<span class="commentUsername">
					<a href="{userLink}" class="commentUsername js-user-link js-user-name" onMouseOver="">{username}</a>
				</span>
                        <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
			 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div> 			<div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

</div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="replyBigChart displayNone js-comment-chart">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
				<span id="commentSmallChart{commentID}" class="commentSmallChart pointer js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
                    <img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImageSmall}" width="116" height="52" alt="{commentAlt}">
                    <span class="chartMagnifyOverlay displayNone"></span>
                    <span class="searchGlassIcon chartMagnify displayNone"></span>
                </span>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

I feel that this comment is:

Spam

Offensive

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review

Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

FED

4.50%

Mar 19, 2025

ECB

2.90%

Mar 06, 2025

BOE

4.50%

Mar 20, 2025

SNB

0.50%

Mar 20, 2025

RBA

4.10%

Apr 01, 2025

BOC

3.00%

Mar 12, 2025

RBNZ

3.75%

Apr 09, 2025

BOJ

0.50%

Mar 19, 2025

CBR

21.00%

Mar 21, 2025

RBI

6.25%

Mar 10, 2025

PBOC

3.10%

BCB

13.25%

Mar 19, 2025

US 30	43,776.5	+536.4	+1.24%
US 500	5,946.9	+85.2	+1.45%
Dow Jones	43,839.99	+600.49	+1.39%
S&P 500	5,954.39	+92.82	+1.58%
Nasdaq	18,847.28	+302.86	+1.63%
S&P 500 VIX	19.63	-1.50	-7.10%
Dollar Index	107.51	+0.33	+0.31%

Crude Oil WTI	69.76	-0.59	-0.84%
Brent Oil	72.58	-0.48	-0.66%
Natural Gas	3.834	-0.100	-2.54%
Gold	2,862.20	-33.70	-1.16%
Silver	31.346	-0.455	-1.43%
Copper	4.569	-0.050	-1.08%
US Soybeans	1,011.50	-11.25	-1.10%

U.S. 10Y	4.210	-0.077	-1.80%
U.S. 30Y	4.484	-0.070	-1.54%
U.S. 5Y	4.014	-0.091	-2.22%
U.S. 3M	4.305	-0.006	-0.14%
US 10Y T-Note	111.19	0.00	0.00%
Euro Bund	133.29	+0.40	+0.30%
10-2 Yield Spread	17.88	-1.73	-8.82%

Apple	241.84	+4.10	+1.73%
Alphabet A	170.28	+1.75	+1.04%
Tesla	292.98	+11.10	+3.94%
Amazon.com	212.28	+3.23	+1.55%
Netflix	980.56	+17.49	+1.82%
Meta Platforms	668.20	+9.96	+1.51%
Bank of America	46.10	+1.98	+4.49%

Goldilocks Conditions Look To Continue

Related Articles