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EUR/GBP sold off after the UK Prime Minister called for a snap election to be held in June as markets eye a wider sample space for Brexit outcomes. If Theresa May resumes power, the cross is likely to...
A relatively quiet day ahead in terms of data releases with the final reading of euro-zone March HICP inflation due - the first release revealed a marked drop in headline CPI to 1.5% y/y (from 2.0% in...
EUR/NOK. March marked a perfect storm for the NOK, as speculative positioning made EUR/NOK highly vulnerable to the repricing of the ECB, the oil price dropped on tighter monetary policy/OPEC...
Very surprisingly, PM Theresa May has announced she wants a snap election on 8 JuneDue to the fixed-term elections system, PM May needs a two-thirds majority of the Commons to call for a snap...
Market movers today Focus this week continues to be on political risks. The situation regarding North Korea (see below) as well as the first round of the French presidential elections on Sunday will...
The latest IMM data covers the week from 4 April to 11 April 2017
Market movers today In the UK, the labour market report for March is due. We estimate the unemployment rate (3M average) will be unchanged at 4.7% while we estimate the annual growth rate in average...
Low inflation in March. Some rebound in April expected but pressure still on Riskbank.Risk of an extension of QE? To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below
In the US, the NFIB small business optimism for March is due out. Business optimism soared after the election of Donald Trump to President. However, given the increased uncertainty about how many of...
In Sweden , the week(s) ahead contain only one thing of interest: March CPI data (on Tuesday 11 April, 09:30 CEST). Indeed, we will also receive the March labour force survey the day before (Monday 10...
Market movers today It is the last week ahead of the Easter Holiday and the data calendar is dominated by not least CPI inflation prints across the globe. Today, the inflation set is kicked off with...
The latest IMM data covers the week from 28 March to the 4 April 2017To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below
Market movers ahead In the US, the coming week brings CPI figures for March. We forecast CPI core increased 2.3% y/y while headline likely increased 2.8% y/y, i.e. we expect to see the acceleration in...
Mounting signs that the global business cycle is peakingWe expect a pause in the equity bull market and that risk factors move back to the fore We still expect the bond bear market is over for...
A calendar of key events in the Commodities Market for the next two weeks.To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below
The key market focus today is on the US military strike in Syria and the US non-farm payroll report from March due to be released in the US.The US labour market has been in good shape over the past...
Today the Czech national Bank (CNB) abandoned the EUR/CZK floor in an extraordinary monetary policy meeting. FX Volatility will likely be high in the short-term, but on a 3-12M horizon we still...