Daily Report: Euro and Swissy Up on Safe Haven Flow

By ActionForexDec 28, 2008 07:00PM ET

www.investing.com/analysis/technical/daily-report%253A-euro-and-swissy-up-on-safe-haven-flow-15390

Daily Report: Euro and Swissy Up on Safe Haven Flow

By ActionForex | Dec 28, 2008 07:00PM ET

Saved. See Saved Items.

This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

The post Christmas thin markets are dominated by safe haven flow on escalation of conflicts in Middle East. Swiss Franc rallies across the board and takes Euro along with it. In particular, EUR/GBP scores another record high of 0.9663 today, while GBP/CHF also dives to new low at 1.5503. While dollar remains pretty steady against other major currencies like Yen, Sterling and Aussie, dollar index is dragged down by weakness against Euro and Swissy and is back pressing 80 level. Gold rises to as high as 870 so far while crude oil is firm above $38 level. Israeli warplane pounded the Hamas-ruled Gaza for the third consecutive day on Monday and more attacked could be planned after over 300 were killed.

Technically speaking, dollar index's rebound from 77.69 has made an intraday top at 81.62 with 4 hours MACD dragged down by subsequent retreat. Intraday outlook is turned neutral for the moment. Focus now turns to 79.43 minor support. At this moment, we're still favoring the case the fall from 88.46 is merely a correction in the larger up trend. Having said that, current retreat from 81.62 should be contained above 79.43 and bring another rise. Also, note that to solidify this case, we'd like to see the dollar index breaks 83.11 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 88.46 to 77.69 at 83.07) without making a new low below 77.69. That will significantly increase the odds that fall from 88.46 to 77.69 is in corrective 3 wave structure and thus, retain the long term bullish scenario. However, a break of 79.43 will dampen this case and put 77.69 back into focus.

EUR/GBP's rally is still in progress. Break of mentioned 161.8% projection of 0.7808 to 0.8660 from 0.8234 at 0.9613 sets the stage for further rise to 200% projection at 0.99.38 and then the psychologically important parity level. On the downside, a break below 0.9437 is needed to indicate a short term top is formed. Otherwise, short term outlook remains bullish for mentioned targets.

EUR/CHF's fall from 1.5880 is still in progress and dips further to 1.4943 so far. As discussed before, rebound from 1.4315 should have completed at 1.5880. Current fall is expected to extend further to retest this low and Swissy is expected to be stronger comparing to Euro for a while. Above 1.5196 will suggests some consolidation in EUR/CHF first but upside should be limited below 1.5519 resistance and bring another fall.

Looking ahead, Swiss KOF leading indicator is the main focus today. This business sentiment indicator is expected to remain in negative territory for the second months and deteriorate further from -0.05 to -0.25 in Dec. It has been in steady decline since peaking at 2.10 in Jul 2007.

Daily Technical Strategy By Lloyds TSB Corporate Markets - Jan 05, 2009

EUR/USD:Broader themes may have to take a back seat for a couple of weeks, but the bias remains broadly dollar negative. Re-try a small buy against 1.3430 support, stop 1.3380,...

Technical oscillators supporting the~bullish trend for the USD/CHF... By Finotec - Jan 05, 2009

USD/CHF – Market strategy is bullish, buying from the 1.1180~levelUSD/CHF-market strategy can be a buy from the level 1.1180Technical oscillators supporting the bullish trend...

January 06 analysis By Investija - Jan 05, 2009

In this PDF you will find the latest technical analysis published by Forex Trends

Add a Comment

We encourage you to use comments to engage with other users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:

Enrich the conversation, don’t trash it.
Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically. Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user. Racism, sexism and other forms of discrimination will not be tolerated.
Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases. Comments that are written in all caps and contain excessive use of symbols will be removed.
NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and comments containing links will be removed. Phone numbers, email addresses, links to personal or business websites, Skype/Telegram/WhatsApp etc. addresses (including links to groups) will also be removed; self-promotional material or business-related solicitations or PR (ie, contact me for signals/advice etc.), and/or any other comment that contains personal contact specifcs or advertising will be removed as well. In addition, any of the above-mentioned violations may result in suspension of your account.
Doxxing. We do not allow any sharing of private or personal contact or other information about any individual or organization. This will result in immediate suspension of the commentor and his or her account.
Don’t monopolize the conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also strongly believe in giving everyone a chance to air their point of view. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
Only English comments will be allowed.
Any comment you publish, together with your investing.com profile, will be public on investing.com and may be indexed and available through third party search engines, such as Google.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

I have read Investing.com's comments guidelines and agree to the terms described.

I Agree

Write your thoughts here

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Post also to:

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.

<div id="comment">
				<div class="comment js-comment" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
    <div class="mainComment js-content">
       <div class="commentInnerWrapper">
        <a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody">
                					<span class="commentUsername">
                    	<a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link js-user-name">{username}</a>
					</span>
                                <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
                <div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

<div class="js-option addRow follow">
            <div class="js-follow-post-button" data-reg_ep="follow comment">
                <span class="alertfollowIcon middle"></span>Follow this post            </div>
            <div class="js-unfollow-post-button displayNoneImp">
                <span class="alertUnfollowIcon middle"></span>Unfollow this post            </div>
        </div>

<div class="addRow js-option save"  data-reg_ep="save comment">
		<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-save-item-btn" data-item-type="comments" data-item-id="{commentID}">
			<i class="saveItemBigIcon middle"></i>
			Save		</a>
	</div>
	<div class="addRow saveItemsConfirmation noHover displayNone js-saveItemResult">
		
<div class="content js-saveItemSuccess displayNone">
	<span class="mediumGreenSuccessIcon"></span><span>Saved. See <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a>.</span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
<div class="content js-saveItemAlreadySaved saveItemAlreadySaved displayNoneImp">
	<span>This comment has already been saved in your <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a></span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
	</div>

<div class="addRow shareButtons js-sharePopup displayNone">
			<div class="js-shareComment"><span class="js-shareCommentSpan"></span></div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>
                 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div>             </div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="commentBigChart js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

<div class="reportComment js-flag float_lang_base_2">
                            <a href="javascript:void(0);" id="commentFlag_{commentID}">
                                <span class="reportCommentIcon middle"></span><span class="inlineblock middle">Report</span>
                            </a>
                        </div>
                    				</div>
					</div>
	   </div>
	</div>
	</div>			</div>
			<div id="reply">
				
    <div class="commentReply js-comment js-comment-reply" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
		<div class="commentInnerWrapper"><a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody js-content">
            				<span class="commentUsername">
					<a href="{userLink}" class="commentUsername js-user-link js-user-name" onMouseOver="">{username}</a>
				</span>
                        <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
			 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div> 			<div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

</div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="replyBigChart displayNone js-comment-chart">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
				<span id="commentSmallChart{commentID}" class="commentSmallChart pointer js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
                    <img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImageSmall}" width="116" height="52" alt="{commentAlt}">
                    <span class="chartMagnifyOverlay displayNone"></span>
                    <span class="searchGlassIcon chartMagnify displayNone"></span>
                </span>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

I feel that this comment is:

Spam

Offensive

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review

Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

FED

4.50%

May 07, 2025

ECB

2.65%

Apr 17, 2025

BOE

4.50%

May 08, 2025

SNB

0.25%

Jun 19, 2025

RBA

4.10%

May 20, 2025

BOC

2.75%

Apr 16, 2025

RBNZ

3.50%

May 28, 2025

BOJ

0.50%

May 01, 2025

CBR

21.00%

Apr 25, 2025

RBI

6.00%

Jun 06, 2025

PBOC

3.10%

BCB

14.25%

May 07, 2025

US 30	40,237.0	+643.3	+1.62%
US 500	5,361.3	+93.3	+1.77%
Dow Jones	40,212.71	+619.05	+1.56%
S&P 500	5,363.36	+95.31	+1.81%
Nasdaq	16,724.46	+337.14	+2.06%
S&P 500 VIX	37.56	-3.16	-7.76%
Dollar Index	99.890	-0.720	-0.72%

Crude Oil WTI	61.50	+1.43	+2.38%
Brent Oil	64.76	+1.43	+2.26%
Natural Gas	3.527	-0.030	-0.84%
Gold	3,244.60	+67.10	+2.11%
Silver	31.910	+1.151	+3.74%
Copper	4.5230	+0.1865	+4.30%
US Soybeans	1,042.75	+13.75	+1.34%

U.S. 10Y	4.495	+0.072	+1.63%
U.S. 30Y	4.875	+0.006	+0.12%
U.S. 5Y	4.168	+0.098	+2.41%
U.S. 3M	4.325	+0.006	+0.14%
US 10Y T-Note	109.73	-0.86	-0.78%
Euro Bund	130.98	+0.62	+0.48%
10-2 Yield Spread	31.32	+4.15	+15.27%

Apple	198.15	+7.73	+4.06%
NVIDIA	110.93	+3.36	+3.12%
Alphabet A	157.14	+4.32	+2.83%
Tesla	252.31	-0.09	-0.04%
Amazon.com	184.87	+3.65	+2.01%
Netflix	918.29	-2.88	-0.31%
Meta Platforms	543.57	-2.72	-0.50%

Daily Report: Euro and Swissy Up on Safe Haven Flow

Related Articles