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The long awaited day is finally here! We are expecting employment figures from both sides of the border at 8:30, this morning. Economists are forecasting that 180,000 jobs were created in the U.S. and 20,000 in Canada. Strangely enough, strictly based on the performance of the various asset classes yesterday, we can expect excellent numbers from the U.S.
Further to the release of decent private sector employment data and far better-than-expected ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI and Initial Jobless Claims figures, the DXY Index, which charts the evolution of the greenback against a basket of 6 currencies including the euro, GBP and loonie, increased by 0.54%. Also noteworthy, 10-year bond yields increased by 3.5% to reach their highest levels since May 2011. This increase and the fact that the Fed is keeping a close eye on the unemployment rate to determine the best time to start tapering the program lead us to believe that markets are anticipating positive figures and are preempting the results of the FOMC meeting on September 18.
In Canada, we are expecting Ivey Purchasing Managers Index figures at 10:00 this morning. Have a great weekend!
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