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Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.49; (P) 129.07; (R1) 129.93;
No change in GBP/JPY's outlook. As the cross has been clearly losing upside momentum with bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD, strong resistance would likely be seen at 61.8% retracement of 140.02 to 116.83 at 131.16 to limit upside at first attempt and bring consolidations before staging another rally. Meanwhile, break of 126.68 support will indicate short term topping and bring deeper pull back. Overall, the decline from 140.02 should have finished at 116.83 already. Break of 131.16 fibo level will target a test on 140.02 next.
In the bigger picture, the choppy decline from 163.05 is viewed as part of the down trend from 251.09. Current development is starting to suggest that such fall is finished. Focus is now turned to 140.02 key resistance. Sustained break there will firstly indicate completion of fall from 163.05. More importantly, this will also signal completion of the whole down trend from 2007 high of 251.09. In such case, stronger rise should be seen back to retest on 163.05.
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