GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.50; (P) 139.97; (R1) 140.66;
A temporary low is in place at 139.39 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Deeper decline is mildly in favor as long as 143.18 resistance holds. Fall from 147.76 could extend through 138.65 support towards 135.58 key support level. At this point, price actions from 148.42 are seen as a sideway consolidation pattern. Hence, we'll expect strong support from 135.58 to contain downside and bring rebound. Meanwhile, break of 143.18 will indicate short term reversal and turn bias back to the upside.
In the bigger picture, the sideway pattern from 148.42 is extending with another leg. We'd expect strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Medium term rise from 122.36 is still expected to resume later. And break of 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43 will carry long term bullish implications. However, firm break of 135.58/39 will dampen the bullish view and turn focus back to 122.36 low.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 130.38 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the cross. As noted decline from 131.39 is seen as correcting whole rise from 141.84. Below 127.55 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 131.39 at 125.05. Nonetheless, break of 130.38 will argue that the pull back is completed and turn focus back to 131.39 high.
Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.73; (P) 129.04; (R1) 129.55;
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. As long as 130.38 resistance holds, deeper decline is expected in the cross. As noted decline from 131.39 is seen as correcting whole rise from 141.84. Below 127.55 will target 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 131.39 at 125.05. Nonetheless, break of 130.38 will argue that the pull back is completed and turn focus back to 131.39 high.
In the bigger picture, the down trend from 149.76 (2014 high) is completed at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rally from 109.03 should be at the same degree as the fall from 149.76 to 109.03. Further rise is expected to 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20. Sustained break there will pave the way to key long term resistance zone at 141.04/149.76. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 124.08 resistance turned support holds. However, firm break of 124.08 will argue that rise from 109.03 is completed and turn outlook bearish.
