EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8746; (P) 0.8763; (R1) 0.8776;
ERU/GBP continues to stay in right range below 0.8796 and intraday bias remains neutral. As noted before, the cross was supported by 0.8686 key support level, we’d slightly favoring the case for further rebound. On the upside, above 0.8796 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8967 to 0.8666 at 0.8852 and above. Nonetheless, on the downside, firm break of 0.8666 will resume the decline from 0.9305 and pave the way to 0.8303 key support zone next.
In the bigger picture, there are various ways to interpret price actions from 0.9304 high. But after all, firm break of 0.9304/5 is needed to confirm up trend resumption. Otherwise, range trading will continue with risk of deeper fall. And in that case, EUR/GBP could have a retest on 0.8303. But we’d expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.17; (P) 148.92; (R1) 149.45;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral at this point. Corrective rise from 144.97 might still extend. But we’d expect strong resistance from limit upside and bring fall resumption. On the downside, below 147.65 minor support will bring retest of 144.97 low first. However, sustained break of 150.92 will indicate near term reversal and pave the way back to retest 156.69 high.
In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up. There is bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. 146.96 support was taken out. And GBP/JPY was rejected by 55 month EMA. Break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 143.51 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 135.43 and below. This will now be the preferred case as long as 150.92 resistance holds.
