Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Last month’s estimate of “fair value” for the US 10-year Treasury yield suggested that an upside bias for this benchmark rate was likely, or at least plausible. A month later, that...

Yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note shot up above 1.6% on Friday after a disappointing jobs report which investors decided wasn’t disappointing enough that it would stop the Federal...

Below is iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT), which continues to crumble away as the world realizes lending money to a failing nation isn’t a great idea. Get ready for higher...

Bonds: Hold ‘Em, Fold’ Em, Walk Away, or Run? “You got to know when to hold ’emKnow when to fold ’emKnow when to walk awayAnd know when to run” Kenny Rogers- The...

Congressional dysfunction is running rampant as investors are growing genuinely worried about inflation. That's keeping U.S. Treasury yields high. Yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury hovered just...

After a summer of drifting lower and then holding in a range, the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield is running higher this month. Does the jump mark a regime change after decades of trending lower?...

The latest run-up in US bond yields means business. Bond bears (those expecting higher bond yields) will tell you to watch 1.53/4% for the next key resistance, while bond bulls will suggest you wait...

Evergrande, a highly leveraged Chinese property company in danger of default, sent investors scrambling on Monday, shedding risky assets and shifting into safe-haven government bonds.Yield on the...

With real rates trading below zero right now, many yield-starved investors are being forced into riskier and riskier assets, including high-yield junk bonds. But even these are no longer offering a...

Most pundits expect the Federal Reserve Board to start a gradual withdraw of its easy money policies in the near term. And while Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated at the end of the annual Jackson Hole...

Utilities ran away with first place yesterday rising over 1% despite the S&P being slightly lower. Is the recent bout of strong demand for longer-term Treasury auctions and flight to utilities a...

U.S. Treasury bonds experienced a bear market and added selling pressure following the coronavirus flash crash as bond yields bottomed in early 2020. The move higher in yields since then peaked early...

On Friday of last week, I pointed out that TLT (bonds) had broken their ascending channel. Well, that was the signal. Today they fell with some more gusto.In turn, TBT (double-inverse bonds) has...

Uncertainty remains elevated for the economy, inflation, monetary policy and the path of the pandemic as the final quarter of 2021 approaches. As investors struggle to get a handle on how the final...