Bonds Analysis & Opinion

Investors in US Treasuries are being squeezed between the rock of Russia’s threat to Ukraine and the hard place of surging inflation. The consumer price index for January registered a 7.5%...

This article was first published at TopDown Charts Developed market 10-year rates jump as the US 10-year hurdles the 1.9% figure. The 2% level is in sight as multiple signs point north for...

I've been paying close attention to bonds as the global markets react to rising inflation and global central bank moves recently. The Federal Reserve has yet to take any actions to raise rates, but we...

The 10-year bond market continued to fall today as yields broke the 2% level, highest levels since 2019. The market has been laser focused on the "2%" level in recent months.If you look at the 10-year...

The stern message is that the Fed Funds rate could be raised at any time (which is possible even before the next FOMC meeting on March 16, in my opinion).I would not advise you to listen to those who...

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde roiled government bond markets big time when she said last week that eurozone policymakers can no longer exclude a rate hike this year. This...

The Federal Reserve’s plan to start raising interest rates in March—maybe by half a percentage point—is putting bond market analysts in a pickle. Yield on the 2-year Treasury note,...

Here are the latest charts and statistics for the Commitment of Traders (COT) data published by the Commodities Futures Trading Commission (CFTC).The latest COT data is updated through Tuesday, Jan....

Does the chart below suggest yields have topped for now? A weekly candle that fails to close below the 200-WMA after testing it for the 1st time in nearly 2 years could be a tell.Bonds have often...

I’d like to suggest this is an opportune time to short bonds by way of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT).This is based on an enormous topping pattern that I perceive on the...

European investors are wondering how much pressure monetary tightening in the US will exert on the European Central Bank and on EU sovereign bond yields.Odds are growing that the Federal Reserve will...

Nontraditional bond funds aim to avoid losses and earn a return that is uncorrelated with the overall bond market. Such funds deploy several strategies to achieve their objectives, such as investing...

Back on Backlogs… and Bond-Yield Back-Ups: In this chart we map the path of the global backlogs indicator and the US 10-year Treasury yield. I think it’s fair to say that there are a...

A triple whammy from the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy sent Treasuries into a tailspin last week and boosted yields on the 10-year note to 1.77% by Friday. On Monday, yields spiked above...