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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

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231.18 -2.05    -0.88%
04:33:09 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
Unit:  1 Pound
  • Prev. Close: 233.23
  • Open: 233.95
  • Day's Range: 230.52 - 234.07
US Coffee C 231.18 -2.05 -0.88%

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 NameSymbolLastChg. %Vol.Time
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily LeveragedLCFE1.430-2.30%6.56K04:19:52 
 WisdomTree Coffee 2x Daily LeveragedLCFE1.5540-2.57%6.72K04:15:50 
 WisdomTree CoffeeCOFF34.735-1.57%9.10K04:32:43 
 WisdomTree CoffeeCOFF37.70-1.69%680.0004:30:57 
 WisdomTree CoffeeOD7B35.1800-0.09%0.00K03:04:12 

Indices

 NameLastHighLowChg.Chg. %Time
 Dow Jones-UBS Coffee26.525826.892826.4684-0.3670-1.36%04:32:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee15.824316.043515.7901-0.2192-1.37%04:32:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee TR37.203737.719037.1232-0.5098-1.35%04:32:00 
 Bloomberg Coffee Euro Hedged TR35.440935.931335.3642-0.4864-1.35%04:32:00 
 DJ Commodity Coffee219.64219.64219.64-0.16-0.07%03:28:00 

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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Josin Céntimos
Josin Céntimos 1 hour ago
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Cocoa yesterday +5.04%.
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari 11 hours ago
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What a surprise. I always thought there is no fraud here.
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari 11 hours ago
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This text is regarding Viriatos Blue sky territory text
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 8 hours ago
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That was the citation from Ryan Delany twitter of today: R achieved multi-decade highs after successfully surpassing 45-day tech resistance at $4300. Market is bullish and now at blue sky territory, with no visible resistance levels ahead.
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari 1 hour ago
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Brazil shipped 4.1million bags in May , clearly a lot of coffee at the end of coffee year. A sign that someone is a bad speculator here in this group.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 14 hours ago
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There is an opinion that R is in a blue sky territory :).
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 17 hours ago
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FND soon. Rally should start after FND
Robert Cunderlik
Robert Cunderlik 17 hours ago
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incredible how the funds are sofisticated ..look at the charts and drops where they starts and when they finished .. incredible
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 17 hours ago
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Short Dude. 240 is very important level on weekly :). And it will take time to digest... If rumors are true to reasonable extent, conservatively sieve+cup issue may produce :) 5mb A, add to this 2 - 3mb from ES R and you'll get 7-8mb, make it 5mb for simplicity - you'll get 5mb drop instead of promised 5mb increase, huge level of confusion, automatic projection for other origins and if all that will not create a panic narration, I'll reduce my personal coffee consumption drastically :).
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 17 hours ago
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5mb drop will make ending stocks 24/25, projected to be 3.5mb paper null or, in real terms, very very small - close to zero. Also consider, that if true - Brazil never dealt with such a quality (cup) issue in its modern history (A).
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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Short Dude. Revista's publication is, probably, first official :) coffee media comment, stating the facts but not projecting... Two things out of it: 1) it came came way before 1/2 the harvest is completed , what may :) imply that: a) Revista doesn't want to give away all the clicks to Volcafe :); b) harvest goes a bit quicker than usually; c) problem is real as it becoming obvious already at this stage; 2) if all this will be :) proven applicable to El Rei Do Cafe, will it be immediately extrapolated on other, not so advanced origins that have been affected in similar way ? (Actually, almost of them...)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 18 hours ago
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48C was recorded yesterday in Oaxaca. Station, that recorded, is not at coffee farm, but it gives a clue what's going on there... It should be close to its end, but many trees are already stressed, so any few days/weeks more may add to the damage in non-linear fashion (they will add :)). Yield will suffer.. and possibly :) not for just one season... :) :) :)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 18 hours ago
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***** Almost all of the origins have been affected: CA, M, Asia, Oceania, India, Caribbean,...)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 18 hours ago
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A bit more unknowns: 20/21 drought and frost produced substantial damage to some trees. The fact was recorded and reflected by production numbers in 21/22, 22/23. Some trees have been replanted but most likely not all of them. Drought effects may last up to 5 years easy as studies shown. If to consider, that 23/24 high temp issue somehow :) affected those trees (that survived drought/frost and have been not replanted) , the yield of those trees may disappoint for next few years without any problems or they may be considered for replanting, etc. In any case, if true - it will affect 25/26 and 26/27 crops. :)
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari 19 hours ago
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From a mouth of a coffee roaster : I used to drink a lot of coffee. Now although I am in possession of a lot of coffee bags, I've cut my coffee consumption in half. It's gone mad. What do you guys think ?
To Mas
To Mas 20 hours ago
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260 looks like sure target now
Robert Cunderlik
Robert Cunderlik 20 hours ago
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where are you seeing the coffee arabica proces during this year ?
To Mas
To Mas 19 hours ago
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i am not coffee expert but acording to chart and everything is pumping hard this year so its possible
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 22 hours ago
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Last post from Cafeicultura on Twitter. Huge quality problem with current crop. 30% more beans are needed to fulfill 60kg bag. Wow
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Coffee Arabica
Coffee Arabica 19 hours ago
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The last post I see is about Nicaragua…
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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The 2024 coffee harvest is marked by a significant challenge: the drop in grain yield. Due to the strong water deficit throughout 2023, there was a substantial decrease in the filling of coffee beans, resulting in a significant reduction in grain yield. Producers from different regions have reported this drop, with very low coffee sieves and a high level of mocha beans, in some cases reaching 22% mocha. For example, at Rodo Munho Farm, in Rio Paranaíba, MG, a reduction of up to 29% in grain yield was observed. In 2023, 50 grams of coffee contained 298 beans, while in 2024, 415 beans are needed for the same quantity.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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So, narration is changing ? :) :) :) Comments are problem is widespread, not just one area ... Perfectly fits the studies :) :) :).
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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Initial comments from many were pointing to 10 - 15% drop due to size/weight. But size size/weight is not the only problem - taste quality is gonna be next. :)
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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If cupping will will confirm rumors :), ICE inflow will be affected what will add a bit of fire :). Averaged rumors about quality issues (A) from many areas have been pointing to bigger problem than size/weight ...
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jun 05, 2024 5:58PM ET
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Robusta at ATH again. Soon more expensive than Arabica? Arabica should catch up?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 05, 2024 5:58PM ET
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Volcafe created some real confusion :) ? In relation to Brazil, some could have start to assume a real drop for R in ES, 20% or so... Would correlate well with drop in 15/16, 16/17 years on drought in SE Brazil and Super El Nino 15/16. R production in ES in 15/16 was 24 percent lower vs 14/15, in 16/17 production was 30 lower than in 15/16 and 49% lower than in 14/15. Many have been comparing 15/16 El Nino with 23/24 El Nino, not like 23/24 replicated 15/16, but by many metrics it was similar... It took 3 years for R in ES to get back to the level from which it dropped...
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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ES, R: 13/14 - 12.3mb, 14/15 - 13.10mb, 15/16 - 9.9mb, 16/17 - 6.7mb, 17/18 - 7.2mb, 18/19 - 10.9mb, 19/20 - 12.9mb, USDA. Drop was related to drought in SE Brazil and Strong El Nino 15-16.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 19 hours ago
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The road back to 12.9mb (13/14 and 14/15 pre-El Nino levels) was not very fast... What begs the question about production in 25/26 MY :).
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari Jun 05, 2024 8:51AM ET
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I suggest you guys check Vicente Zotti on twitter... he has very interesting and unbiased tweets...
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Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari Jun 05, 2024 8:51AM ET
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Twitter...check it...
Rain
Rain Jun 05, 2024 8:51AM ET
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Jun 05, 2024 8:51AM ET
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Arabica: 34.870, Conilon: 20.293, numbers from his twitter.
MGom MGom
MGom Jun 05, 2024 8:51AM ET
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Joke ?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Jun 05, 2024 8:51AM ET
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No, not a joke. This what Vicente Zotti published after crop tour at the time and it is still open for public in his tweeter, what implies that this is still his view at 23/24 crop :). Yes, it is for 23/24MY, not for 24/25.
 
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