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Barclays underweight on Coinbase stock despite strong Q1, questions sustainability of trends

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/06/2024, 05:00 AM
© Reuters
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On Friday, Barclays maintained its underweight rating on Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) stock with a price target of $179. The firm acknowledged the cryptocurrency exchange's robust first-quarter performance, which surpassed expectations in nearly every revenue category and adjusted EBITDA that was significantly above analyst predictions.

The outperformance was attributed to higher transaction revenues, which benefited from stable retail fee rates and increased institutional fees, as well as stronger subscription and services revenues. Additionally, operational expenditures only increased slightly.

Coinbase's Q1 success was driven by a variety of factors, including consistent fee rates in retail transactions and a rise in institutional transaction fees. Subscription and services (S&S) revenues also exceeded forecasts. Despite the better-than-expected performance, Barclays raised questions about the sustainability of these trends.

April's indicators suggested a downturn compared to March, although the performance was still stronger than in January and February. This assessment was based on a variety of data sources, including exchange data, ETF flows, asset prices, and activity on Coinbase itself, as reported by The Block and Bloomberg.

The report also speculated on potential future catalysts for the cryptocurrency market, such as the approval of options on Bitcoin ETFs or the launch of an Ethereum ETF. However, it remains uncertain whether these events could stimulate market activity to the same extent as those that propelled Coinbase's growth in the first quarter.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of the recent analysis by Barclays on Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN), it's important to consider additional metrics and insights that could further inform investors. According to real-time data from InvestingPro, Coinbase boasts a significant market capitalization of $56.17 billion, reflecting its substantial presence in the cryptocurrency exchange market. Despite a challenging revenue growth of -7.08% over the last twelve months as of Q4 2023, the company has shown a remarkable gross profit margin of 85.62%, indicating efficient cost management relative to its revenues.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that analysts are optimistic about Coinbase's potential for income growth, with five analysts having revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period. This aligns with the strong return over the last three months and the significant price uptick over the last six months, emphasizing a positive trend in investor sentiment. Moreover, the company's stock price has seen a 371.95% return over the last year, showcasing its impressive performance in the market.

Investors considering Coinbase should note that the stock is trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 1196.92 as of Q4 2023. This could suggest a premium on growth expectations. Additionally, while Coinbase does not pay a dividend, the potential for capital appreciation may be a draw for growth-focused investors. For those interested in further insights, there are numerous additional InvestingPro Tips available at InvestingPro, which can be accessed with a special offer using the coupon code PRONEWS24 for an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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