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The ETF Portfolio Strategist

Published 05/17/2021, 12:43 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
VTI
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EWJ
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VGK
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IHY
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Our trio of proprietary strategies outperformed their common benchmark last week. Alas, the outperformance was in the form of lesser declines, but that still beats underperformance.

The softer losses helped close the year-to-date gap that the benchmark – G.B16 – still enjoys over the proprietary strategies. For two of the prop strategies, the 2021 gains are within shouting distance of G.B16, which is ahead by 7.0% for the year through Friday’s close (May 14).

Global Momentum (G.B16.MOM) has gained 6.2% year to date, and is currently the closest to matching G.B16’s advance in 2021. By contrast, Global Managed Drawdown (G.B16.MDD) is nursing the biggest lag at the moment via a relatively weak 2.3% year-to-date rise. For details on strategy rules and risk metrics in the tables below, please see this summary.

Proprietary Strategies
Portfollio Strategy Benchmarks
Proprietary Strategy Wealth Indexes Vs Benchmark GMI

G.B16.MVOL became moderately more defensive at last week’s close: three of its 16 funds shifted to risk-off. That’s the first time in seven weeks that the strategy moved away from a full-on risk-on profile. The trio of risk-off positions: foreign developed-market stocks (VGK), Japan stocks (EWJ) and foreign high-yield bonds (IHY).

G.B 16 MVOL Buy-Sell Signals

Meanwhile, G.B16.MDD reversed its complete risk-off profile (a rare event for the strategy) and shifted to risk-off for four funds last week, including US stocks (VTI):

G.B 16 MDD Buy-Sell Signals

G.B16.MOM, by design, had no changes — any rebalancing events are limited to month-end changes. That said, the strategy continues to reflect four risk-off positions for its 16-fund opportunity set (G.B16).

G.B 16 MOM Buy-Sell Signals
G.B 16 ETFs Ranked By 1-Week Returns
G.B 16 Sectors

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