Bonds Analysis & Opinion

The Federal Reserve is widely expected to lift its target interest rate by 75 basis points tomorrow (Wed., Sep. 21). The question is whether the bond market has priced in the change. That’s a...

The benchmark United States 10-Year Treasury Yield rose to its highest level since April 2011 as investors brace for another major interest rate hike this week.10-Year U.S. Treasury yield climbed to...

Junk bonds started sending a negative message to stocks last year, as SPDR® Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (NYSE:JNK) broke below its 30-week moving average.Since falling below this important...

Many astute bond investors are baffled by rising bond yields. Economic activity is slowing, inflation expectations are falling, the Fed is aggressively fighting inflation, and QT has begun. In the...

I hadn’t looked at these charts in a while. Good GOD, interest rates have gone insane! And in case you think a Recession isn’t coming directly our way…………I...

2-year Treasury rates could be on their way to between 4% and 4.25% Fed monetary policy could be the main driver The 2-year appears to be breaking out from a technical standpoint Rates have been...

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says more “pain” is coming, and the Treasury market believes him. The clearest sign of confidence in the central banker’s advisory is the renewed...

We’re revisiting treasury bonds even though they were the subject of our previous post. The resistance in the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:TLT) served well as a backstop...

The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade below its recent peak. Yesterday’s softer-than-expected rise in consumer inflation for July supports a case for expecting the 10-year rate to...

After celebrating a brief “head and shoulders” bearish breakdown on the daily, the U.S 10-year Treasury yield returned back above the all important neckline (around 2.65%). This is...

While the Federal Reserve continues trying to rein in prices with its aggressive tightening – macro-speculators are busy focusing on the yield curve. Which is now signaling serious trouble ahead...

Treasury rates fell sharply as interest rate volatility dropped High-yield bonds rose big last month, but uncertainty lies ahead Traders monitoring important technical pattern on U.S. 10-year yield...

Avoiding another 75-basis-point hike in September looks tough Policymakers say focus should be on inflation, not recession Central banks, including the Fed, made mistakes that have led to...

The US 10-Year yield is balanced on long-term support. Is this because investors aren't afraid of inflation anymore and thus trust the Fed? Or there is another recession on the horizon? Time will...