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May is expected to be another volatile month on Wall Street amid a plethora of significant market-moving events. Identifying favorable opportunities becomes paramount in the current environment. As...
Investors are on edge ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision as inflation fears return to the forefront. I believe Fed Chair Powell will strike a hawkish tone and push back...
All eyes are now on the Fed meeting. How will the dollar react to the FOMC policy decision, with more key data coming up on Friday? Dollar Index technical analysis points higher. Today’s US...
In an op-ed for the Washington Post on November 5, 2010, Ben Bernanke did a victory lap, praising the Fed’s efforts in stemming the financial crisis. In the article, he discusses how QE and...
Stocks rebounded yesterday, with the S&P 500 climbing by 90 bps, ahead of what will be another big data point and the last major data point until the CPI report. I am thankful. The run over the...
Short-term retracements often cloud our view of long-term bull markets. 2023 saw mega-cap growth stocks dominate, but the new year has shown a shift with communication services surging. Despite recent...
The value of modeling recession risk-based multiple indicators is a hardy perennial. The latest example comes by way of aggregating trends in the 50 US state economies for estimating the odds that an...
Apple will publish earnings after the closing bell today. Expectations are low, and the stock is close to a 1-year low. Could upside surprise spark a rally? Identify top stocks and build outperforming...
Amazon reports earnings today, with investors focusing on AI, cloud, advertising, and the macro impact. Analysts expect strong growth, with EPS projected at $0.83 and revenue at $142.5B. The Fed...
The S&P 500 was down about 1.6% heading into the FOMC meeting and Quarterly Refunding Announcement today. The VIX 1-Day was up 8.3 points to 18.10, which suggests much of the decline yesterday...
Index futures are in the green after Fed holds rates steady, but uncertainty lingers before Apple earnings and key US data. Meanwhile, can Apple earnings tonight spark a bullish run, or will the...
Yesterday was not a great day for bulls; what looked promising for all indexes intraday, was cooked by the close. The percentage loss for the day was not the issue, it was the intraday spread that...
The Fed meetings seem to create more confusion than needed, but it is what is what it is. I know that even though I wrote yesterday that at 2:35 PM ET, it was possible that we saw the usual FOMC press...
In our previous update from early April, we found that the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) had peaked at $18464 on March 21, which was only 0.81% below the ideal target of ~$18615 we had set forth three weeks prior....
Crypto markets plunged in April, with Bitcoin leading the decline. BNB held stronger than others, currently consolidating between $550 and $650. Memecoin PEPE corrected after its surge, now eyeing a...
There is a popular meme that the government has an incentive to inflate, because the same debt is worth less in real terms at a higher price level. If inflation is high enough, then the government (it...
Copper prices have surged in the last three months, driven by robust demand from various industries. China's positive economic data further strengthens the case for a potential rise in copper...
After the Fed meeting, eyes are now on Berkshire Hathaway)'s annual meeting, set to take place on the weekend. Apple's earnings release today holds significant weight for Berkshire's portfolio...