⏳ Final hours! Save up to 60% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Europe shares fall after Asia hits two-month high, oil jumps

Published 03/07/2016, 07:38 AM
© Reuters. A man shelters under an umbrella as he walks past the London Stock Exchange
UK100
-
JP225
-
CBKG
-
LCO
-
1YMZ24
-
US10YT=X
-
SSEC
-
FTEU3
-
MIAPJ0000PUS
-
CSI300
-
DXY
-

By Nigel Stephenson

LONDON (Reuters) - European shares fell on Monday, unable to maintain the momentum that took Asian equities to two-month highs, as investors said a rebound in stocks seemed tired and looked ahead to a European Central Bank meeting expected to deliver more stimulus.

U.S. shares were also expected to open lower, with futures (1YMc1) suggesting they would open down 0.4-0.6 percent.

The euro tumbled against the dollar before Thursday's ECB meeting at which policymakers are expected to cut interest rates further into negative territory.

Sentiment in commodity markets was buoyant, however, with oil powering ahead and iron ore surging on expectations Chinese steel mills will implement short-term output cuts.

Chinese shares rose for a fifth consecutive day as reassurances by the country's leaders that the economy would remain on a sound footing soothed investors' concerns.

The pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 index (FTEU3), which rose 0.7 percent on Friday after a forecast-beating U.S. jobs report, fell 0.9 percent. It remains up around 7 percent this year. Britain's FTSE 100 (FTSE) fell 1 percent.

"Momentum is fading again and, combined with persistently weak inflation readings, should ensure a comprehensive package of stimulus measures," Peel Hunt strategist Ian Williams said, referring to the ECB meeting, which is also expected to deliver an extension of its asset-purchase program.

In their first reaction to the U.S. data, Asian shares gained. MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.3 percent to its highest since Jan. 4. It has recouped about 80 percent of its 2016 losses.

Japanese shares snapped a four-day winning streak as the yen strengthened and investors took profits on last week' sharp rally. The Nikkei 225 index (N225) closed down 0.6 percent.

Chinese shares rose after Prime Minister Li Keqiang spelled out on Saturday a new five-year economic plan, which included an average growth target of 6.5 to 7 percent and a moderate increase in the fiscal deficit to 3 percent of GDP this year.

The CSI300 index (CSI300) of the biggest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen closed up 0.4 percent and the Shanghai Composite <.SSEC> rose 0.9 percent.

Friday's payrolls data showed 242,000 jobs were created last month and assuaged fears the U.S. economy could be headed into recession. It also revived prospects of further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes this year, something markets had priced out.

Prices still suggest no chance of a hike this month, but a 50 percent chance of a June hike, according to CME Fedwatch.

An unexpected fall in average earnings soothed concerns the Fed would be in a hurry to raise interest rates, however.

The data and its implications for the economy helped lift oil prices, which were also supported on Monday by a fall in the number of active U.S. rigs to its lowest since 2009.

Brent (LCOc1), the global benchmark for crude prices, was up 54 cents at $39.26. It has risen more than a third from this year's lows, though analysts caution that the glut that saw it fall 70 percent from June 2014 levels remains.

Iron ore futures surged almost 20 percent to around $60 a tonne in anticipation of a short-term output cut in China's top steel-producing region to improve air quality.

RAMP UP

The dollar rose 0.3 percent against a basket of currencies (DXY), with the euro off 0.5 percent at $1.0946.

"There is still a higher likelihood that they over-deliver and the euro goes down to around $1.08, maybe the high $1.07s," said Ulrich Leuchtmann, head of currencies research at Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) in Frankfurt.

"Clearly there will be a much bigger move if they do not deliver."

The yen, often sought when risky assets are out of favor, bucked the trend and rose 0.2 percent to 113.58 per dollar.

German 10-year Bund yields fell 2.5 basis points to 0.21 percent. U.S. 10-year yields (US10YT=RR), which rose after Friday's jobs data, were up 1.7 bps at 1.90 percent.

© Reuters. A man shelters under an umbrella as he walks past the London Stock Exchange

Gold held around $1,270 an ounce, just below last week's 13-week high, on weak shares and the U.S. rate outlook.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.