🥇 First rule of investing? Know when to save! Up to 55% off InvestingPro before BLACK FRIDAYCLAIM SALE

Dollar sweeps to 14-month high, kicks oil below $100

Published 09/09/2014, 04:55 AM
Dollar sweeps to 14-month high, kicks oil below $100
UK100
-
DE40
-
JP225
-
US10YT=X
-
FCHI
-
FTEU3
-
CSI300
-

By Marc Jones LONDON (Reuters) - A robust dollar swept to a 14-month high on Tuesday as investors tweaked bets on an early hike in U.S. interest rates, burdening oil, gold and stocks in the energy majors.

As the dollar broke to a six-year peak on the yen and a 14-month top against the euro, gold sagged to a three-month trough and Brent oil settled below the $100 a barrel mark.

Giving the dollar bulls encouragement was research from San Francisco Fed economists that showed investors are pricing in a lower trajectory for interest rates rises than members of the Fed itself are.

The dollar index , which benchmarks the greenback against six other major currencies, was up 0.25 percent, having climbed to a 14-month high of 84.519. A break above 84.753 would take it to highs not seen since July 2010.

"(The Fed report) has reinforced the stronger dollar trend that has been in place for the last couple months," said Lee Hardman, a currency strategist at Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi in London.

"As we move forward we think we will increasingly see monetary policy diverge between the Fed and the other major central banks, and that is likely to be supportive for further gains against the euro and the yen."

European shares (FTEU3) had opened on a more solid footing having been buffeted on Monday, particularly in London, by strong signs that the campaign for an independent Scotland was gaining momentum.

The FTSE (FTSE) share index inched up 0.2 percent, closely followed by Frankfurt's Dax (GDAXI) and the CAC 40 in Paris (FCHI).

Sterling, having seen its biggest fall in over 2-1/2 years on Monday, was steadier but stayed rooted at 10-month lows.

A second opinion poll released overnight again showed a marked increase in support for Scottish independence just nine days before the country votes on whether to break away from the United Kingdom.

The TNS poll found support for the 'yes camp had risen six points to 38 percent, just a pip behind the 'No' vote at 39 percent. That followed a weekend YouGov poll showing approval of independence at 51 percent against the unity camp's 49 percent, the first this year to find a majority for a 'Yes' vote.

DOLLAR STRENGTH

The stronger dollar remained the day's overarching theme however. Oil and gas stocks underperformed as a result of the lower crude price while European bonds were being dragged around [GVD/EUR] by the rise in U.S. Treasury yields. [US/]

Ten-year treasuries rose to 2.490 percent (US10YT=RR) overnight, up from a low of 2.3870 touched last Friday after a soft August payrolls report.

The greenback raced to a high of 106.33 yen <JPY=>, while the euro slumped to a low of $1.2868 <EUR=>. Investors were already giving the common currency a wide berth after the European Central Bank surprised on Thursday with a fresh round of stimulus.

A falling yen tends to be viewed as positive for Japanese exporters and corporate profits, and helped nudge the Nikkei (N225) share index to its highest close since January.

Other markets in the region were subdued. The CSI300 (CSI300) index of leading Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listings edged higher, having put in its best performance in a year last week with gains of almost 5 percent.

That came as China's central bank also hiked the fixing for the yuan against the dollar to send it to a six-month high <CNY=CFXS>.

"The PBOC (central bank) has been set stronger midpoints since May when China's exports and trade surpluses have been recovering, guiding the yuan up gradually," said one trader.

The gains for the dollar meant losses for commodities, with gold down at $1,255.40 an ounce <XAU=> after losing more than 1 percent on Monday.

Brent crude oil eased another 24 cents to $99.96 per barrel, after slumping as far as $99.36 overnight, the lowest since May 2013. U.S. crude managed a modest bounce of 25 cents to $92.91. [O/R]

The price drop has led to expectations of an OPEC output cut when Gulf Arab oil ministers gather on Thursday in Kuwait for the organization's annual meeting.

© Reuters. A man walks past the London Stock Exchange in the City of London

"Oil at below a $100 a barrel is a little bit risky in the current market - $100 per barrel is really a central point for oil countries," Tetsu Emori, a commodity fund manager at Japan's Astmax said.

(Additional reporting by Keith Wallis in Singapore and Wayne Cole in Sydney, editing by John Stonestreet)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.