S&P Reverses Move Lower, NDX Challenges Bull Trap

Published 12/01/2015, 11:26 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
NDX
-
US500
-
US2000
-
IXIC
-
SOX
-

Modest losses were undone by yesterday's swoop by buyers. This will have forced many shorts to cover, particularly those who decided to take advantage of the weakness. The seasonally positive 'Santa rally' may be perfectly timed here if the November high can be taken out.

The S&P reversed the move lower after it failed to crack support of the tight range. Bulls look to be making a better fist of this, and there is a good chance for some follow through higher. On the negative side, the index's relative performance remains a problem as it sharply underperforms against both Tech and Small Cap Indices. It also have negative technicals in the form of On-Balance-Volume and MACD, although the latter is just shy of a 'strong buy' signal.

SPX Daily Chart

The Nasdaq is just a few points shy of getting past the November high. Volume is maybe a little disappointing, but positive action has returned all technicals to net bullish.

Nasdaq Daily Chart

The Nasdaq 100 is doing better as it challenges the October/November 'bull trap'. The index is slightly under-performing against the Russell 2000, but this could quickly change.

NDX Daily Chart

The Semiconductor Index continued its run of good form. It added over 1% as it followed through on its recent 'strong buy' in the MACD. This is looking very healthy for long term investors.

SOX Daily Chart

Finally, the Russell 2000 took a step closer to its 200-day MA. The recent rally has helped the index outperform its peers, but it needs to maintain this momentum if it's to get past the 200-day MA.

RUT Daily Chart

Now it will be case of a turning the screw on shorts and looking for the Russell 2000 to challenge and break through its 200-day MA, and for the Nasdaq 100 to negate the 'bull trap'.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.