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S&P 500: Could Bearish Engulfing Pattern Signal Local Top? Here's What to Watch

Published 10/17/2024, 02:30 AM
Updated 11/16/2024, 07:53 AM
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US stocks surged on Wednesday, bouncing back toward record highs as investors sifted through a wave of earnings reports, with Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) standing out.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed nearly 350 points, or 0.8%, to close at a record 43,077.70. The tech-heavy NASDAQ Composite added 0.3%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.5%, closing just shy of its own record.

All three major indexes recovered after Tuesday’s pullback from all-time highs. A sharp cut in ASML (NASDAQ:ASML) 2025 sales forecast had rattled confidence in the AI chip trade, weighing on stocks like Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA).

Despite Wednesday's gains, the S&P 500 has shown a pattern of bearish engulfing candles, which are often followed by an uptick. These candles have typically appeared around key turning points for the index.

The true test, however, will be where the index lands a week from now, rather than in the immediate days ahead. This time, though, the pattern emerged on a Tuesday, unlike previous instances, which mostly occurred on Thursdays.

S&P 500-Daily Chart

Semiconductors Pause - What's Next?

Despite Nvidia’s more than 3% rise yesterday, the SMH ETF remained flat, reflecting broader weakness in the sector.

The key question now is where the ETF goes from here—the chart doesn’t look promising, and yesterday’s action seems more like a pause than a turnaround.SMH ETF-1-Hour Chart

Wingstop Breaks Below Key Support Signaling Weakness for Nasdaq

Yesterday, Wingstop’s (NASDAQ:WING) stock dropped nearly 4%, breaking below key support. The next potential support level is around $366. Why does Wingstop matter?

Interestingly, it seems to have a knack for signaling where the Nasdaq might be heading.Wingstop-Daily Chart

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