With the rally continuing to power higher in the stock markets—including the S&P 500, Dow, Dow Transports, Russell 2000, NASDAQ 100 and NASDAQ Composite—I’m going to update the portfolio combo charts so you can see how this once is a lifetime rally is unfolding. When this impulse move finally burns itself out we will get a decent sized correction that may take a year or two build out. Until then the hardest thing for most investors riding this bull is to hang on for dear life.
For over six months or longer we’ve heard the never ending story about how overbought this market is, but the stock market doesn’t care what we think. The investors that have missed this rally are crying the loudest that the stock market has to crash because they’re not in it, if they were they would be enjoying the ride of a lifetime. At any rate the correction is going to come at some point and I can guarantee you that we won’t hit the absolute top tick. We have some price objectives that hopefully will get us out in time to enjoy our profits.
I’m going to start off by looking at the daily stock market combo chart. When looking at all the combo charts to follow note the two dominate chart patterns, the H&S’s and the rising flags and wedges. So far there is nothing on these charts that are suggesting a top is in.”
I would like to reiterate once more that our current rally is not normal and doesn’t happen very often in ones trading career. To have missed this opportunity because of emotions, trading discipline or trying to use fundamentals that tell you how the markets are supposed to work, is tough when you see a market like we have right now leaving you behind. More than anything else it is psychological warfare. If it was easy then everyone would become millionaires and we know the markets don’t work that way.
I’ve stated many times in the past that we are going up against all the best minds in the world that want every penny you have. They could care less how you feel as long as they get your hard earned capital. It’s a dog eat dog world and to the victor goes the spoils. Have a great weekend.