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Markets Reach Decision Point As Buyers Don't Seem Done Yet

By Declan FallonETFsMay 21, 2020 12:50AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/markets-reach-decision-point-200525276
Markets Reach Decision Point As Buyers Don't Seem Done Yet
By Declan Fallon   |  May 21, 2020 12:50AM ET
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Another resistance level reached—another level to break. The NASDAQ looks to be first in trying to push beyond the level established by the February gap down. If it succeeds, then it will have the upper level of that gap, then only the February high before we are talking of COVID as yet another V-recovery.

I think the more likely outcome is a broad trading range, bound by the February and March high/lows. But, for now, buyers don't seem done yet.

COMPQ Daily Chart
COMPQ Daily Chart

We are seeing a similar move from the Semiconductor Index. The index is also looking to outperform the NASDAQ 100—will COVID-19 generate a new wave of investment in technology as the world moves to a more WFH economy?  That is, are investors pricing this in as a more than just a 1 year temporary hiatus? 

SOX Daily Chart
SOX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (via iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM)) is showing signs of life. It's knocking on the door of a resistance breakout, albeit from a further level back.

IWM Daily Chart
IWM Daily Chart

TheS&P is lurking just below its 200-day MA. Given the 200-day MA has already been breached in the NASDAQ, it would appear to just be a matter of time before this index does the same. The nascent 'sell' trigger in the MACD has gone, but this indicator has effectively flat-lined for now—so still could go either way. In more promising news for bulls, the index is underperforming the Russell 2000, which should help the broader market, even if it doesn't help the S&P.

SPX Daily Chart
SPX Daily Chart

For today, bulls we will want to see a strong finish to the week and a break of the aforementioned resistance. It would also be good to see some volume go with this buying...but one step at a time. 

Markets Reach Decision Point As Buyers Don't Seem Done Yet
 

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Markets Reach Decision Point As Buyers Don't Seem Done Yet

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Comments (2)
May 21, 2020 2:06AM ET
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Im seeing the futures getting hit overnight, esp the R2K.
Gabor Grand
GaborGrand May 21, 2020 1:59AM ET
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Thx for the insight.
 
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