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Dow Flat on Retail Sales Miss, But Stimulus Progress, Fed Offer Hope

Published 12/16/2020, 01:30 PM
Updated 12/16/2020, 03:07 PM
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By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com - The Dow was flat Wednesday, as the Federal Reserve's pledge to maintain its ultra-easy policy stance and growing expectations for a stimulus deal eased investor jitters on the recovery. 

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.02%, or 7 points. The S&P 500 was up 0.27%, while the Nasdaq Composite added 0.57%.

The Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged and signaled that near-zero rates would continue through 2023 to support the next phase of the economic recovery as the vaccine rollout gets underway. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the first-quarter data in 2021 will show a significant impact from a surge in the virus, but the economy should perform strongly in the second half of next year, underpinned by a boost from the vaccine rollout. 

The ongoing pledge from the Fed comes as U.S. lawmakers appear to be closing in on a stimulus deal - expected to include much-needed support for businesses and unemployed Americans – after Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell said a "major headway" had been made in talks.

The Commerce Department said on Wednesday that retail sales fell 1.1% last month, a deeper contraction than the 0.3% decline expected. The retail sales control group – which has a larger impact on U.S. GDP –  fell 0.5% confounding expectations for a 0.2% rise. 

"COVID and the UI cliff will continue to weigh on spending in December, but we believe Congress is very close to finalizing a new stimulus bill which will reinstate enhanced UI (unemployment insurance) benefits from January through April at $300/week (or $1200/month)," Jefferies (NYSE:JEF) said in a note.

Consumer discretionary stocks shrugged off signs of consumer weakness thanks to a rise in eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS), and Chipotle.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) rose 5% after Stifel upgraded its rating on the stock to buy from hold, and raised its price target to $1,500 from $1,400.

Technology stocks continued their strong start to the week, with Twitter Inc (NYSE:TWTR) among the notable gainers after an upgrade from JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM).

JPMorgan upgraded Twitter to overweight from neutral with a $65 price target on expectations for online advertising growth to reaccelerate next year.

"We believe Twitter will show the biggest rebound given its sharper pandemic-driven ad decline, along with revenue prioritization throughout the company, early benefits from rebuilt ad tech through the new Ad Server and rollout of Map 2.0, and increases in both advertiser count and ad load," JPMorgan said.

Energy stocks cut losses as oil prices eased from lows on data showing a larger-than-expected U.S. weekly draw of 3.13 million barrels.

In other news, Tilray (NASDAQ:TLRY) jumped 22%  after agreeing to a tie-up with Aphria (TSX:APHA), creating a combined business valued at about $3.9 billion

The mixed day on Wall Street comes ahead of the Federal Reserve decision in the afternoon and a press conference by Chairman Jerome Powell. 

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