Final hours! Save up to 55% OFF InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Marketmind: What banking crisis? Ending Q1 on a high

Published 03/30/2023, 05:49 PM
Updated 03/30/2023, 05:51 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks past an electronic board showing stock visualizations outside a brokerage, in Tokyo, Japan, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou
NDX
-
US500
-
HK50
-
JD
-
BABA
-

By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

Asian markets go into the final trading day of the quarter in a buoyant mood, ready to face Friday's barrowload of regional economic data with a sense of optimism and resilience that would barely have been believable a few weeks ago.

Maybe it is just window-dressing for the end of the quarter, but investors are driving risky assets higher across the board, doing their best to make the banking crisis of March 2023 look like a blip in the rear-view mirror.

 

Q1 world markets, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/klpygqylxpg/Three.PNG

 

Another solid performance on Wall Street on Thursday should set the tone for Asian stocks on Friday, with tech again leading the way. U.S. financials was the only S&P 500 sector to fall on Thursday, but they are still up 3% this week, the best week since January.

It remains to be seen how successful U.S. authorities have been in ring-fencing banks from contagion, and there is little doubt that deteriorating credit conditions will be a drag on growth.

Right now though, it's 'risk on' globally - the MSCI Asia ex-Japan equity index is up three weeks in a row, the MSCI World is having its best week since mid-January, and the Hang Seng tech index is at a six-week high.

Although bond yields and the Fed rate outlook have picked up in the last two weeks, they are still significantly below the historic peaks pre-banking shock. Tech, in particular, is on a roll.

Further indications that China is reversing the sweeping regulatory crackdown on its technology sector of recent years is also adding fuel to the rally.

 

JD (NASDAQ:JD).com shares jump 8% on restructuring news, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zgvobaxozpd/JD.png

 

After investors gave Alibaba (NYSE:BABA)'s restructuring plans this week a big thumbs up, e-commerce firm JD.com said on Thursday it plans to spin off its property and industrial units and list them on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.

U.S.-listed shares in JD.com jumped 8% on Thursday, U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba are up 20% in the last three sessions, the Nasdaq 100 is flirting with a bull market - up more than 20% from its December low - and the wider Nasdaq is up 15% this year.

On the Asian data front on Friday, investors have no shortage of potential market-movers, including: Chinese PMIs for March; Japanese unemployment, retail sales and industrial production; and private sector credit figures from Australia.

 

Emerging market currencies, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/movakwarqva/Pasted%20image%201680194665862.png

 

 

Here are three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Friday:

- China NBS manufacturing and services PMI (March)

© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man walks past an electronic board showing stock visualizations outside a brokerage, in Tokyo, Japan, March 17, 2023. REUTERS/Androniki Christodoulou

- Euro zone flash CPI inflation (March)

- U.S. PCE inflation (February)

 

(By Jamie McGeever; Editing by Josie Kao)

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.