SPX And NASDAQ Make New Closing Highs

www.investing.com/analysis/spx-and-nasdaq-make-new-closing-highs-200171910

By Guy S. Ortmann, CMT | Jan 09, 2017 09:13AM ET

Saved. See Saved Items.

This article has already been saved in your Saved Items

US500

-1.78%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

DJI

-0.99%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

US2000

-1.64%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

IXIC

-2.61%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

DJT

-0.42%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

MID

-1.55%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

VIX

+13.41%

Add to/Remove from Watchlist

Short Term Outlook Remains “Neutral”

Opinion: The indexes closed mixed Friday with negative internals on the NYSE while NASDAQ internals were mixed. Volumes declined from the prior session on both exchanges, taking some of the luster off of the SPX and COMPQX making new closing highs. The trends of the various indexes remain mixed along with the signals coming from the data dashboard. As such, and in spite of some new highs being achieved, we remain “neutral” in our short term outlook for the major equity indexes while extended valuation keeps the intermediate view “neutral” as well.

· On the charts, the indexes closed mixed Friday with the SPX (page 2) and COMPQX (page 3) closing above resistance to new closing highs. However, breadth was negative on both exchanges as volumes declined from the prior session. The internals suggest a selective move with weakening strength, in our opinion. And while the SPX and COMPQX are in uptrends, the rest remain in sideways patterns while the DJT (page 3) is actually in a short term downtrend. In fact, very little progress has been made by the indexes since the middle of last month. We would also note the VIX (page 9) is back at its lows suggesting some possible resurgence of volatility.

· The data remains mixed with the bulk of the McClellan OB/OS Oscillators neutral (All Exchange:+23.05/+41.06 NYSE:+32.06/+51.79 NASDAQ:-5.17/+16.63) with only the 21 day NYSE mildly overbought. The Equity Put/Call Ratio (0.68) and WST Ratio/Composite (41.4/113.3) are neutral while the OEX Put/Call Ratio (smart money) finds the pros long calls at .75 and expecting strength. However, both the AAII Bear/Bull Ratio and Investors Intelligence Bear/Bull Ratio (contrary indicators) find the crowd overly bullish at 25.23/46.2 and 18.4/60.2 respectively. The lack of any concern on the part of the crowd is disconcerting, in our opinion.

· In conclusion, in spite of two new highs being achieved Friday, poor internals combined with the issues discussed above continue to suggest to us a “neutral” near term outlook for the indexes remains appropriate. High forward valuation of the SPX at 17.4 keeps the intermediate term view “neutral”.

· Forward 12 month earnings estimates for the SPX from IBES of $130.93 leave a 5.75 forward earnings yield on a 17.4 forward multiple, a 12 year high.

SPX: 2,237/NA
DJI: 19,735/19,975
COMPQX; 5,432/NA
DJT: 9,041/9,157
MID: 1,659/1,690
RTY: 1,352/1,388
VALUA: 5,262/5,388

Raytheon vs. Lockheed Martin: Which Stock Has More Upside? By Jea Yu - Mar 06, 2025

Defense stocks took a tumble heading into 2025 as President Trump returned to the White House for his second term. Trump has stated his intent as a peacemaker to bring the wars in...

Is the Nasdaq 100 in a Long-Term Bear Market? By Dr. Arnout ter Schure - Mar 06, 2025 1

Using the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP), we have been tracking the most likely path forward for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Although there are many ways to navigate the markets and to...

Volatility Returns—3 Stocks to Track Amid Growing Economic... By Christine Short - Mar 06, 2025 1

Investors are on edge about what tariff policy means for markets Coming off a strong Q4 earnings season, fresh February corporate sales figures can help assess the macro...

Add a Comment

We encourage you to use comments to engage with other users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:

Enrich the conversation, don’t trash it.
Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically. Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user. Racism, sexism and other forms of discrimination will not be tolerated.
Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases. Comments that are written in all caps and contain excessive use of symbols will be removed.
NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and comments containing links will be removed. Phone numbers, email addresses, links to personal or business websites, Skype/Telegram/WhatsApp etc. addresses (including links to groups) will also be removed; self-promotional material or business-related solicitations or PR (ie, contact me for signals/advice etc.), and/or any other comment that contains personal contact specifcs or advertising will be removed as well. In addition, any of the above-mentioned violations may result in suspension of your account.
Doxxing. We do not allow any sharing of private or personal contact or other information about any individual or organization. This will result in immediate suspension of the commentor and his or her account.
Don’t monopolize the conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also strongly believe in giving everyone a chance to air their point of view. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
Only English comments will be allowed.
Any comment you publish, together with your investing.com profile, will be public on investing.com and may be indexed and available through third party search engines, such as Google.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

I have read Investing.com's comments guidelines and agree to the terms described.

I Agree

Write your thoughts here

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Post also to:

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.

<div id="comment">
				<div class="comment js-comment" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
    <div class="mainComment js-content">
       <div class="commentInnerWrapper">
        <a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody">
                					<span class="commentUsername">
                    	<a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link js-user-name">{username}</a>
					</span>
                                <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
                <div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

<div class="js-option addRow follow">
            <div class="js-follow-post-button" data-reg_ep="follow comment">
                <span class="alertfollowIcon middle"></span>Follow this post            </div>
            <div class="js-unfollow-post-button displayNoneImp">
                <span class="alertUnfollowIcon middle"></span>Unfollow this post            </div>
        </div>

<div class="addRow js-option save"  data-reg_ep="save comment">
		<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-save-item-btn" data-item-type="comments" data-item-id="{commentID}">
			<i class="saveItemBigIcon middle"></i>
			Save		</a>
	</div>
	<div class="addRow saveItemsConfirmation noHover displayNone js-saveItemResult">
		
<div class="content js-saveItemSuccess displayNone">
	<span class="mediumGreenSuccessIcon"></span><span>Saved. See <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a>.</span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
<div class="content js-saveItemAlreadySaved saveItemAlreadySaved displayNoneImp">
	<span>This comment has already been saved in your <a href="/members-admin/saved-items" target="_blank">Saved Items</a></span>
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="bugCloseIcon js-close"></a>
</div>
	</div>

<div class="addRow shareButtons js-sharePopup displayNone">
			<div class="js-shareComment"><span class="js-shareCommentSpan"></span></div>
		</div>
	</div>
</div>
                 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div>             </div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="commentBigChart js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

<div class="reportComment js-flag float_lang_base_2">
                            <a href="javascript:void(0);" id="commentFlag_{commentID}">
                                <span class="reportCommentIcon middle"></span><span class="inlineblock middle">Report</span>
                            </a>
                        </div>
                    				</div>
					</div>
	   </div>
	</div>
	</div>			</div>
			<div id="reply">
				
    <div class="commentReply js-comment js-comment-reply" data-comment-id="{commentID}" id="comment-{commentID}" data-user-id="">
		<div class="commentInnerWrapper"><a href="{userLink}" class="js-user-link"><img src="{userImage}" width="33" height="33" alt="{usernameAlt}" class="img" onerror="this.src='https://i-invdn-com.investing.com/defaultUserMaleTmp.png';"></a><div class="commentBody js-content">
            				<span class="commentUsername">
					<a href="{userLink}" class="commentUsername js-user-link js-user-name" onMouseOver="">{username}</a>
				</span>
                        <span class="js-date" comment-date="{dateFormat}" comment-date-formatted="{dateFormatted}" title="{dateTitle}">Just Now</span>
			 <div class="commentAuthor js-comment-by-author"><span class="commentAuthorIcon"></span>Author's response</div> 			<div class="commentDropDown js-commentDropDownWrapper " data-user-id="" data-cid="{commentID}">
	<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="threeDotsIconSmall js-thinDropdownArrow"></a>
	<div class="tooltipPopup commentActionsPop noHeader js-commentDropDownOptions displayNone">
		<div class="addRow js-option share">
			<a href="javascript:void(0);" class="js-commentSharePopup" data-cid="{commentID}" data-curl="{commentLink}"><span class="smallShareIcon middle"></span>Share</a>
		</div>

</div>
		<div id="commentText-{commentID}" class="js-text-wrapper commentText withImage">
							<div id="commentBigChart{commentID}" class="replyBigChart displayNone js-comment-chart">
					<img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImage}" alt="{commentAlt}">
					<i class="newMagnifyChartIcon"></i>
				</div>
				<span id="commentSmallChart{commentID}" class="commentSmallChart pointer js-comment-chart" onclick="openViewChartPopup('{commentID}')">
                    <img src="https://d1-invdn-com.investing.com/comments_images/{commentImageSmall}" width="116" height="52" alt="{commentAlt}">
                    <span class="chartMagnifyOverlay displayNone"></span>
                    <span class="searchGlassIcon chartMagnify displayNone"></span>
                </span>
						<span class="js-text">{commentContent}</span>
			<div class="clear"></div>
							<div class="commentButtons js-not-master-user">
					<a href="javascript:void(0)" class="reply js-reply-btn" data-real-parent-id="{commentID}" data-to-user-name="{username}" data-to-user-id="">Reply</a>
					<div class="inlineblock likeDislikeBox js-like-dislike-box" data-item-id="{commentID}">
	<input class="js-like-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="Yes" id="like_{commentID}">
	<label for="like_{commentID}" class="like" title="I agree"></label>
	<span class="numOfLikes js-like-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
	<input class="js-dislike-checkbox" type="checkbox" name="option" value="No" id="dislike_{commentID}">
	<label for="dislike_{commentID}" class="dislike" title="I disagree"></label>
	<span class="numOfDislikes js-dislike-count lighterGrayFont">0</span>
</div>

Are you sure you want to delete this chart?

Delete Cancel

Post

Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?

Replace Cancel

1000

Comment Guidelines

Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.

Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.

I feel that this comment is:

Spam

Offensive

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review

Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

FED

4.50%

Mar 19, 2025

ECB

2.65%

Mar 06, 2025

BOE

4.50%

Mar 20, 2025

SNB

0.50%

Mar 20, 2025

RBA

4.10%

Apr 01, 2025

BOC

3.00%

Mar 12, 2025

RBNZ

3.75%

Apr 09, 2025

BOJ

0.50%

Mar 19, 2025

CBR

21.00%

Mar 21, 2025

RBI

6.25%

Mar 10, 2025

PBOC

3.10%

BCB

13.25%

Mar 19, 2025

US 30	42,650.0	+71.2	+0.17%
US 500	5,756.4	+17.9	+0.31%
Dow Jones	42,579.08	-427.51	-0.99%
S&P 500	5,738.52	-104.11	-1.78%
Nasdaq	18,069.26	-483.48	-2.61%
S&P 500 VIX	24.87	+2.94	+13.41%
Dollar Index	104.025	-0.003	0.00%

Crude Oil WTI	66.47	+0.11	+0.17%
Brent Oil	69.63	+0.17	+0.24%
Natural Gas	4.272	-0.006	-0.14%
Gold	2,912.24	-14.36	-0.49%
Silver	33.185	-0.153	-0.46%
Copper	4.7810	+0.0062	+0.13%
US Soybeans	1,027.88	-0.38	-0.04%

U.S. 10Y	4.255	-0.027	-0.63%
U.S. 30Y	4.557	-0.022	-0.48%
U.S. 5Y	4.029	-0.029	-0.71%
U.S. 3M	4.329	+0.018	+0.42%
US 10Y T-Note	110.98	+0.20	+0.18%
Euro Bund	127.80	-0.05	-0.04%
10-2 Yield Spread	27.17	+1.56	+6.09%

Apple	235.33	-0.41	-0.17%
NVIDIA	110.57	-6.73	-5.74%
Alphabet A	172.35	-0.67	-0.39%
Tesla	263.45	-15.65	-5.61%
Amazon.com	200.70	-7.66	-3.68%
Netflix	906.36	-84.56	-8.53%
Meta Platforms	627.93	-28.54	-4.35%

SPX And NASDAQ Make New Closing Highs

Related Articles