Buyers Start Year In Fine Form. Can Bears Even Gain An Angle?

Published 01/05/2017, 12:03 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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End-of-year profit taking has given way to start-of-year buying. The best performer on the day yesterday was the Russell 2000. It gained over 1.5% as it broke upside from its consolidation.

While the gain did little to reverse the MACD 'sell' trigger, it does look like action has kicked off a measured move higher.

RUT Daily


The S&P booked a second consecutive day of gains. This move higher came on lighter volume, and didn't change the technical picture greatly, only an On-Balance-Volume 'buy' trigger to report.

SPX Daily


The NASDAQ finds itself challenging resistance today. Of the indices it has the weakest technicals, but yesterday's buying was enough to reverse the 'sell' trigger in On-Balance-Volume, which also coincided with trading volume comparable to Tuesday's.

COMPQ Daily


While the NASDAQ has been a bit of a laggard, it has been assisted by strength in the Semiconductor Index. The 'sell' triggers in MACD and CCI run contrary to what looks like a bullish inside day for price action (a long trade with a stop below 899 might be the perfect tonic).

SOX Daily


It's becoming hard to see how bears will gain an angle. The easy option for a straight sell-off now moves further away than ever before.

Even what had been relatively bearish long-term weekly charts are fighting higher. For example, the relationship between Consumer Staples and Discretionary is slowly moving back in bulls' favour (although it never moved oversold enough to suggest a strong bottom).

XLY:XLP Monthly 1996-2017

Although those late to the game may want to take a look at the Transports Index. A buying opportunity looks sustainable from here despite the rise in oil prices.

TRAN:INDU Weekly 2013-2017

It looks like bears will have to remain on the defensive (for now).

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