🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Day Ahead: Top 3 Things to Watch for May 15

Published 05/14/2020, 05:27 PM
Updated 05/14/2020, 05:41 PM
DJI
-
CL
-
USO
-

By Kim Khan 

Investing.com - It was quite a comeback for the Dow today as investors finally decided to dip back into financial stocks.

Bulls will hope that the same sentiment that was able to shrug off a rise of 3 million in jobless claims today will be on hand tomorrow, with more devasting data expected.

Here are three things that could move the market tomorrow.

1. Consumer in Focus

Retailers without a big online presence will be hoping measures to reopen across the country will start paying dividends quickly.

Tomorrow the market will get see what is expected to be another historically band month for sales.

The Commerce Department will report the April retail sales figures at 8:30 AM ET (12:30 GMT).

Economists expect that retail sales plunged 12% last month, according to forecasts compiled by Investing.com. That would be the biggest drop ever, taking the top spot from March’s dive of 8.4%.

Core retail sales, which exclude autos, are forecast to have dropped 8.6%, compared with a 4.2% drop in March.

There will be more shopping data when the University of Michigan issues its preliminary measure of May consumer confidence at 10:00 AM ET.

The consumer sentiment index is seen dropping to 68 from 71.8 in April.

That would still be well off the lows seen during the Financial Crisis and the early 1980s.

And the Michigan consumer expectations index is forecast to tick up to 71.8 from 70.1 last month.

2. JOLTS, Empire Manufacturing on the Cards

Along with indicators on retail there will be numbers on the labor market and manufacturing.

At 10:00 AM ET (14:00 GMT), the Labor Department will release its March Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).

Job openings, voluntary quits and hires will likely have dropped sharply.

At 8:30 AM ET, the New York Fed will release its measure of manufacturing in the region. The May Empire State Manufacturing Index is seen coming in at -63.50, up slightly from -78.20 in April.

And at 9:15 AM ET, April numbers on industrial production and capacity utilization arrive.

3. Oil Rig Count Likely to Dip Again

Oil prices settled higher thanks to some optimism on demand from the Paris-based International Energy Agency (IEA).

The specter of negative prices has receded as a drop in total U.S. crude stockpiles and inventories as the Cushing, Okla. hub eased the pressure of storage constraints.

Investors will get another glimpse of how production is faring tomorrow when Baker Hughes issues its measure of rig activity.

Last week the oil rig count dropped to 292, the first time it had fallen below 300 since the Great recession.   

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.