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Asia shares wallow near three-month lows on Fed anxiety, Greece

Published 06/09/2015, 10:52 PM
© Reuters. A man holding an umbrella walks in front of an electronic stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo
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By Hideyuki Sano

TOKYO (Reuters) - Asian shares made a tentative rebound from three-month lows on Wednesday though the specter of higher borrowing costs in the United States and concerns about the apparent lack of progress in talks between Greece and its creditors sapped confidence.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (MIAPJ0000PUS) rose 0.3 percent after hitting a fresh three-month low, though it is down almost 9 percent from the seven-year peak hit in late April.

Japan's Nikkei (N225) also rose 0.4 percent, after Tuesday's big fall to three-week lows while mainland Chinese shares suffered a small setback after U.S. index provider MSCI Inc (N:MSCI) said on Tuesday it will hold off including China-listed shares in its widely tracked indexes.

But MSCI also said it expects China-listed shares to be incorporated once outstanding market accessibility issues are resolved - a move that could inject an estimated $400 billion of funds from asset managers to mainland shares.

Shanghai shares fell 0.5 percent (SSEC), though they are still up more than 35 percent so far in this quarter, having rallied strongly on hopes of stimulus from Chinese government.

Share markets around the world, particularly some emerging markets that have relied on foreign capital, have been hit on growing expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve will start to raise interest rates before the year is out.

U.S. bond prices slipped as they were also hit by this week's flood of supply, sending the 10-year U.S. benchmark bond yield to an eight-month high of 2.449 percent (US10YT=RR) on Tuesday. It last stood at 2.437 percent.

Strong U.S. data, including Friday's report showing solid increases in employment, and recent comments from top Fed officials suggesting a rate hike is likely later this year have driven up bond yields in the past several days.

"In the big scheme of things, we could be witnessing the end of 'Goldilocks' markets, where both bonds and shares prices have risen (on the back of easy monetary policy)," said Shuji Shirota, head of macroeconomy strategy at HSBC in Tokyo.

Bond yields also soared in Europe on Tuesday, with German 10-year Bund yields (DE10YT=RR) pushing close to an eight-month high hit last week amid rising economic optimism.

The higher yields dented the allure of equities and helped send European share prices (FTEU3) to four-month lows, with concerns about Greece further weighing on investor sentiment.

A new reform proposal submitted by Athens earlier this week failed to fully satisfy creditors, heightening concerns whether Greece can agree on a deal to unlock new funding to ward off a debt default.

"Failure to agree this week would likely make it difficult to have a smooth resolution before the end of June, partly because another extension of the program would require the approval of some national parliaments," Barclays (LONDON:BARC) analysts said in report.

© Reuters. A man holding an umbrella walks in front of an electronic stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo

In currency markets, the U.S. dollar was largely steady, underpinned by the higher bond yields. The dollar index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of six major currencies, was last down about 0.1 percent at 95.059, below Friday's high of 96.909 hit after the upbeat U.S. jobs report.

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