50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

S&P 500, Nasdaq Face Decisive Week; Russell 2000 Remains in a Freefall

Published 10/23/2023, 03:01 AM
US500
-
US2000
-
IWM
-
IXIC
-

I'll leave the chat on the daily time frames for later this week, but last Friday's damage has left markets struggling on a weekly time frame. It's not all doom and gloom, but come this week's Friday, there will need to be some buying flourish if we are not to start looking for support dating back to the end of 2022 (or worse for the Russell 2000).

The S&P 500 is in the process of testing rising support connecting swing lows of October 2022 and May 2023. Last week's volume ranked as distribution with a new 'sell' trigger in On-Balance-Volume to go with earlier 'sell' triggers in ADX and MACD. Stochastics are still well above the mid-line, which is perhaps the best sign that the bullish shift triggered in January of this year can continue.

SPX-Weekly Chart

The Nasdaq weekly chart has reached swing high support from August 2022 and converged rising support from the late 2022 low. Technically it has broken trendline support, but I would look to current support (also near psychological support of 13,000) as more important. This week will be decisive; last week's volume ranks as distribution, what will this week bring?

COMPQ-Weekly Chart

The Russell 2000 (IWM) is in freefall on the weekly time frame as it failed to hold 200-week MA support, but not after bouncing off it five times in failed rallies. The last support is to be found at the 2022 swing low, but it has already endured two tests, I suspect a third will be one too many (particularly given the time that has past between these tests).

IWM-Weekly Chart

The crash warning for the Russell 2000 ($IWM) is in play following Friday's close. Given the index is already well off its 2021 peak I would see any such crash as something short and sweet, perhaps bottoming in early 2024. It's by no means certain that a crash will happen and if you are an investor you shouldn't be waiting for any further discount but instead be buying with a 5-year+ time horizon. If you are a trader, these are dangerous times.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.