Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?
One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put Iconix Brand's, Inc. (NASDAQ:ICON) stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subsICONbing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:
PE Ratio
A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.
On this front, Iconix Brand has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 5.22, as you can see in the chart below:
This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 stands at about 19.87. If we focus on the long-term PE trend, Iconix Brand’s current PE level puts it below its midpoint over the past five years.
Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 20.33. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.
We should also point out that Iconix Brand has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of 8.35, so it is fair to say that the stock price might appreciate in future.
P/S Ratio
Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.
Right now, Iconix Brand has a P/S ratio of about 0.89. This is lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.12 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.
If anything, ICON is in the lower end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.
Broad Value Outlook
In aggregate, Iconix Brand currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of B, putting it into the top 40% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes Iconix Brand a solid choice for value investors. For example, its P/CF ratio comes in at 3.48, which is far better than the industry average of 6.16.Clearly, ICON is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.
What About the Stock Overall?
Though Iconix Brand might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of D and a Momentum score of F. This gives ICON a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of D. You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)
Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have not been much encouraging. The current quarter has seen no estimate going higher in the past sixty days compared to one getting lower, while the full year estimate has also seen no upward versus one downward movement in the same time period.
This has had a significant impact on the consensus estimate as the current quarter consensus estimate has declined by 50% in the past two months and the full year estimate has dropped by 14.1%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:
Iconix Brand Group, Inc. Price and Consensus
This unfavorable trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.
Bottom Line
Iconix Brand is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Moreover, a strong industry rank (Top 18% out of more than 250 industries) further strengthens its growth potential. In fact, over the past three years, the industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:
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So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.
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