Indices Consolidate Late Week Losses

Published 04/04/2022, 12:53 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Last Wednesday and Thursday delivered the first real losses for this rally since it started around 3 weeks ago, but Friday put a nice 'full stop' to these losses—enough to offer buyers a relatively low risk:reward play for those seeking a trade.

The NASDAQ finished with a doji, and potential bullish harami cross.  The latter is weakened by the lack of oversold momentum (stochastics) indicator.  However the NASDAQ is enjoying a relative outperformance over the S&P.

COMPQ Daily Chart

Meanwhile, the S&P closed with a bullish harami just above its 200-day MA and sufficiently near support of the February double-top to suggest it's finding demand there.

Technicals are net positive and the index is a long way from February/March lows. As the NASDAQ was outerperforming the S&P, here we have the S&P outperforming the Russell 2000.

SPX Daily Chart

The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) is nestled on breakout support and managed to recover most of Thursday's losses. It too enjoys net bullish technicals, but is still underperforming relative to peer indices—although managed to make back some of these losses on Friday. 

The measured move target from February's high was negated on the breakout, so look for higher prices in the months ahead.

IWM Daily Chart

The losses of last week kick started a new swing high for the rally; the question is whether last week is a swing high, or if Friday's buying simply marked a pause in the rally. The truth probably lies somewhere in between—I suspect the reversal marked a zig-zag reversal, and we have got the 'zig,' but have yet to see the 'zag.' 

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.