Fed Influences Dip Buying

Published 12/15/2016, 11:45 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The Fed's announcement for faster rate hikes killed off my EUR/USD trade and threw markets into a state of confusion. Traders had looked to regain their edge on Thursday, but late selling was enough to take some of the wind out of their sails. Having said that, it looked easier for profit takers to follow through on Wednesday's Fed action than to scramble back in as buyers.

The Russell 2000 had the best of the action, managing to retain the most of Thursday's gains. There was a 'sell' trigger in the MACD, but given its relative position to the bullish zero line this looks to be a typical pullback action (which may not be done yet).

RUT Daily Chart

The S&P experienced significant volume distribution on Monday, but the run of gains over recent weeks have seen the index make significant relative gains against its peers. Unlike Small Caps, the S&P hasn't yet tagged the historic overbought zone.

SPX Daily Chart

The NASDAQ is another index trying to make up lost relative ground. It has struggled since mid-October, but the December push helped clear Autumn/Fall consolidations and given it room to drive a Santa rally. Aside from relative performance, other technicals are healthy.

COMPQ Daily Chart

On Friday, watch for morning gaps higher which fail to advance over the course of the trading day. Should markets finish with 'doji' or some other neutral candlestick it will leave traders pondering their positions over the weekend and whether defensive selling is better than offensive holding/buying.

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