Black Candlesticks Are A Warning, Not Necessarily A Reversal

Published 06/07/2022, 12:32 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
US500
-
US2000
-
IWM
-
IXIC
-

When you see 'black' candlesticks; i.e a higher open, a lower close, but a close still above the prior day's close—you need to pay attention. The only good thing is that these warnings typically only matter when 'black' candlesticks occur at the end of a rally—not in the middle of a mini-consolidation. 

For the NASDAQ, the 'black' candlestick on Monday didn't undercut breakout support and volume was relatively light.  Technicals were unchanged, the index is still outperforming the S&P but we are still awaiting a new 'buy' signal in On-Balance-Volume.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P remains primed to accelerate beyond declining resistance but was pegged back by yesterday's close despite the intraday move higher. Technicals haven't changed from Friday, but there is room for optimism for stochastics and on-balance-volume. 

SPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (via IWM) did end with a 'black' candlestick at the end of a rally and is vulnerable to a gap down today.  The 'black' candlestick has also occurred at 50-day MA resistance.  Assuming a down day today, we need to consider if mini-breakout support can hold (near $182). 

IWM Daily Chart

The bearishness of Monday's candlestick will be undone if there is a close above the open of the 'black' candlestick.  The Russell 2000 is the index to watch as while I like its bullish tendencies, it had the weakest finish on Monday. 

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.