The volatility during the week of March 9 is likely to continue, and bonds are likely to be wild as well. I think the move lower in yields is pretty much complete at this point, and we should see them reverse higher.
I think we might even see the 10-year rise back to 1.05% this week.
Spreads
The move higher in yields will be a result of spreads between US and German Bunds expanding after a steep sell-off this past week, perhaps moving back to roughly 1.75%.
S&P 500 (SPY)
This should help the equity market recover some and potentially move back to 3,125. The pattern almost appears to be an island reversal, if so that would also be a bullish indication.
Volume on both of those bottom days was much higher than other days, so maybe it is that reversal pattern. We can wait and see. It won’t be easy that’s for sure. I have plenty of friends and readers thinking we continue even lower. It makes me feel like I’m out here all alone, not a great feeling.
Of course, if we do not bounce and fail at support around 2,875, then we are likely to retest 2,855, which is extremely important and must hold to avoid even more considerable declines.
Apple (AAPL)
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) will have to be one of those stocks that will need to lead everything higher, maybe moving back to $301.
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) will have to be another stock leading the way higher with a potential push towards $173.50
Micron (MU)
I’d like to see Micron (NASDAQ:MU) push higher, potentially back to $55.60. After I was seeing more bullish bets being placed in the stock on Friday.
Broadcom (AVGO)
It will be a huge week for Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), and I care very much what they say, and you should too. This is the must-watch earnings call of the week. A push back to $290 seems reasonable.
Roku (ROKU)
Perhaps Roku (NASDAQ:ROKU) has bottomed for now, with the RSI hitting 30, and the stock found support at $100. I think maybe it can move back to $116 for the time being.
Alibaba (BABA)
Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) continues to stand strong, and $201 seems pretty solid, with share potential pushing back to $211.
Citrix (CTXS)
A member asked me to look at Citrix (NASDAQ:CTXS), and the chart seems broken and inconclusive at this point. I don’t like that the uptrend is broken, and I can’t get a sense of direction.
