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Use October's wild swings in tech to buy dips in AI: UBS

Published 10/09/2024, 04:09 PM
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Investing.com -- Tech stocks have endured wild swings since October, but investors should use the volatility in what is historically the most volatile month in tech, to buy the dip in artificial intelligence stocks, UBS said in a Wednesday note. 

"Given ongoing geopolitical uncertainty and the risks around export controls, we continue to expect increased volatility for technology stocks in the near term," UBS strategists said.

"Against this backdrop, we believe volatility should be utilized to build long-term AI exposure," it added.

October has proved a bumpy month for tech so far, UBS said, but the volatility seen in so far this month isn't unusual. 

The Nasdaq 100 has experienced a monthly realized volatility of 26% over the past 40 years, UBS said, compared to an average of 22% in other months.

The recent turbulence, however, offers the opportunity to gain exposure to AI, the strategists added, pointing to strong spending commitments from major AI customers through 2025. 

AI semiconductor industry revenues to grow from $58 billion in 2023 to $168 billion by the end of this year and to $245 billion by end-2025, UBS estimated.

The call from UBS to buy the dips in AI stocks come just ahead of upcoming third-quarter results for a number of AI-related stocks. The earnings season "could provide a catalyst for markets, UBS said, expecting tech and AI companies to 'beat and raise' for the September quarter."

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