50% Off! Beat the market in 2025 with InvestingProCLAIM SALE

Hedge funds' risk trends higher ahead of US election

Published 11/01/2024, 04:11 PM
Updated 11/01/2024, 04:16 PM
© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 23, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
US500
-
IXIC
-

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Global hedge funds are coming into the U.S. presidential election with more equity leverage in their portfolios than they had in the beginning of the year, indicating higher risk appetite, Goldman Sachs' data showed.

Portfolio managers borrow money from prime brokers to juice up hedge funds' return, but it can also magnify losses in case a trade goes wrong.

Hedge funds have increased leverage in portfolios by 20.6% year to date, a trend that contrasts with positioning in the previous three U.S. elections cycle.

In 2020, when Republican candidate Donald Trump and President Joe Biden were on the ticket, hedge funds trimmed leverage by 3.1% ahead of the election day.

In the two previous election cycles, leverage also went up, but at a slower pace. In 2016, when Trump and democratic candidate Hillary Clinton were running, leverage rose by 12.1%, while in 2012, it increased by 5.6% when the nominees were Republican Mitt Romney and Democratic Barack Obama.

Hedge funds' risk appetite for equities comes as stocks have posted a stellar performance so far this year, on the back of a strong U.S. economy and great optimism about tech.

The benchmark S&P 500 is up over 20% year to date, while the Nasdaq rose 22%.

Goldman Sachs measures hedge funds' so-called gross leverage, which adds up portfolios' long and short positions in equities and shows their overall exposure to the market.

© Reuters. Traders work on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., October 23, 2024.  REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo

Barclays said in a separate note earlier this week that in October hedge funds have added back to equities, with positioning "back to an above-average level," although "it's not flashing red yet" and leaves room to add more.

Macro and long/short hedge funds were the main strategies that added more equities to their books in October, the bank added.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.